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Latest Quinnipiac Poll Affirms Trump Nomination Victory Near Certain
The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 12-22-2015 | sundance

Posted on 12/22/2015 5:07:59 PM PST by smoothsailing

December 22, 2015

Latest Quinnipiac Poll Affirms Trump Nomination Victory Near Certain

by sundance

* You might be noting the corporate media selling a “surging Cruz” nipping on the heels of Donald Trump narrative. Be thankful.

* You might also be noting the corporate media selling a “more palatable Chris Christie” narrative as an option to the vulgarian uprising represented in Donald Trump. Again, be thankful.

It’s only when the corporate media is NOT predictable, that any concern should rise.

GOP candidates crop

Somewhere between the origin of the GOPe Roadmap, The Tripwires, The Splitter Strategy and Operation Hummingbird, people have caught on. The validity of predicting what they do, before they do it, and seeing it actually play out exactly as designed has awakened the majority.

Remove Donald Trump – then: Carson becomes Herman Cain, Ted Cruz becomes Newt Gingrich, and Jeb Bush/Marco Rubio can stroll into the role of Mitt Romney 2012…

However, none of the current plans can succeed until the primary issue is resolved, ie. the removal of Donald Trump. Hence, we are now fully immersed in the predictable “Alliance Phase”:

* One goal is to make Chris Christie a palatable alternative to Trump. Target the Republican voter who will never support Jeb but is vulnerable to the media influence creating fear of Trump. Hence today, 12/22/15, their push is: The vulgarian Trump “is an embarrassment”

* One goal is to elevate Ted Cruz hoping to push Trump supporters his way, then wedge issue similar voters toward Rubio. Hence today, 12/22/15, their push is: “Cruz is right behind Trump – and is the only candidate to beat Hillary

* The last goal is to keep Jeb Bush alive as a viable candidate.

Remember: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Chris Christie are all on the same team. [ Along with Fiorina, Kasich, Huckabee, Pataki and Gilmore ]

Don’t think those prior predictions were entirely accurate? Well, let’s take a closer look at today’s quinnipiac polling. Setting aside the top-line poll data for a moment, and again check out the construct of the press released statement from Quinnipiac (highlighted for emphasis):

qpac bias 1

(Click to Enlarge) – Press Release LINK HERE

Do you see the narrative as presented?

Donald Trump and the word “embarrassed” used five times in the top half of the very first presentation page. This is not accidental.

Was this question asked for any other GOP candidate other than Trump? Of course not, that wouldn’t aid the selling of it.

Donald Trump rallies with tens-of-thousands several times a week, yet “Ted Cruz is snapping at his heels“? Too funny – but it gets even sillier.

Do you notice the non-congruent narrative juxtaposition? All of a sudden the most polarizing political figure in the history of GOP politics, Ted Cruz, has miraculously found a way to tie Hillary Clinton?

This “Ted Cruz-the-Bridge-builder-to-Democrats narrative” is not only antithetical to all previous and current polling, it’s profoundly antithetical to common sense.

It takes a very particular poll sample to generate such a result. A polling sample where only 4% of GOP respondents value gun ownership rights higher than climate change concerns….

….Let that emphasis sink in for a minute.

And after all that work, here’s the Top-Line results they were able to achieve:

( FULL POLL DATA )

( FULL POLL DATA )

Link to Methodology

Dear readers, when the GOPe, corporate media and synergistic polling outfits are this predictable there is absolutely nothing to worry about.

Trump flag

U.S. Republican presidential candidate Trump hugs a U.S. flag as he takes the stage for a campaign town hall meeting in Derry

Trump rally illinois 4


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; immigration; trump; trumpwasright
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To: erod

Only reason to win Iowa is to shut the Cruz bots up before Trump’s win in NH and all the other states.


21 posted on 12/22/2015 5:26:25 PM PST by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: erod

For the record Reagan lost in Iowa to HW


22 posted on 12/22/2015 5:27:22 PM PST by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

LOLOL!!!


23 posted on 12/22/2015 5:28:23 PM PST by HarleyLady27 (.."THE FORCE AWAKENS"!!! TRUMP; TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP 100%....)
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To: erod
I'm thinking you meant to say December 2007 but you make a good point. Eight years ago today, nobody gave Obama a chance against Shrillary. Polls had her up by 20 or 30 points. That changed rather quickly after Iowa. Remember how Shrillary was in meltdown mode in New Hampshire, trying desperately to save her campaign?

I would not be surprised at all if Bernie laid a similar shellacking on her this go-around.

24 posted on 12/22/2015 5:29:36 PM PST by SamAdams76
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To: smoothsailing

I wonder what the author’s statistical background is.


25 posted on 12/22/2015 5:31:44 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: SaxxonWoods; BigEdLB; erod
Yep...

(Hat tip: BigEdLB)

26 posted on 12/22/2015 5:33:03 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing; visualops
The front has a pic of Trump in his red hat giving thumbs up. Inside reads: Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays
We are, together, going to Make America Great Again! I Love You All, Donald J. Trump.

I bought 2 signs from his website when he announced.

27 posted on 12/22/2015 5:33:40 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
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To: Boardwalk
You can’t begin to compare the two so please stop.

Um, yes I can. The 2008 primary featured two candidates.

1. Clinton: a candidate with high negatives, a big lead in the national polls, huge name recognition and constant media coverage

2. Obama: A very liberal first term senator, who laid down one of the best ground games in his party's primary, started to surge at the right time and used Iowa to launch himself to the presidency and had the organization to carry himself through the next couple of primaries and capture the nomination.

So while these are different parties and different ideologies these are similar candidates in Trump and Cruz. The scenario of 2008 is already playing out with Cruz and Trump. Trump is not giving Iowa away to Cruz, Trump has no ground game, no organization and is relying on the media covering him to gain exposure. I feel pretty good about where Cruz is at right now, he has a great shot at this because he's surging at the right time and has the best organization in the race.

28 posted on 12/22/2015 5:34:48 PM PST by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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To: smoothsailing

I wonder what the author’s statistical background is.


29 posted on 12/22/2015 5:35:08 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: smoothsailing

If you even think this article makes sense then you must be for Trump.


30 posted on 12/22/2015 5:35:48 PM PST by Starstruck (I'm usually sarcastic. Deal with it.)
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To: Nifster

Sure, Reagan lost Iowa very narrowly, but there have been candidates who have used Iowa as a springboard to the nomination and the presidency.


31 posted on 12/22/2015 5:36:08 PM PST by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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To: smoothsailing
So who’s your Obama in the Republican primaries?

It's Cruz, very different ideologies, but very similar campaign tactics and organization. Cruz even studied the 2008 Obama campaign and emulated its structure to win a major upset in Texas when he was running for the Senate.

32 posted on 12/22/2015 5:39:29 PM PST by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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To: erod
Obama made Hillary the proverbial offer she could not refuse when they met during the primaries.

It was not a matter of masterful election strategy, as he never had it. It was the media in his corner, covering for him, and the entire progressive machine full tilt pedal to the metal to denigrate first bush, then McCain (albeit the latter was a piece of cake) because they saw him as being more effective for their needs, and a better chance of taking the election.

Then there was the visceral hatred of all things Clinton, even on their side. That is why now, there is lip service for her, but not too much in terms of all out non stop 24/7 Hillary!

33 posted on 12/22/2015 5:42:35 PM PST by going hot (Happiness is a Momma Deuce)
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To: erod

OK then Obama had the big crowds and won against Clinton. Now Trump has the biggest crowds and will win against Cruz. Makes perfect sense.


34 posted on 12/22/2015 5:43:39 PM PST by Boardwalk
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To: smoothsailing

Gotta love sundance.


35 posted on 12/22/2015 5:44:41 PM PST by moehoward
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To: going hot

I hate Obama with every fiber in my body, but I can’t deny that the man had an amazing ground game and campaign that changed the way political campaigns are run. Cruz is wise for using it as a model.


36 posted on 12/22/2015 5:46:24 PM PST by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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To: erod

“Iowa”


Iowa has become the kiss of death. Let Cruz have it.


37 posted on 12/22/2015 5:46:53 PM PST by moehoward
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To: Boardwalk

You know who else had big crowds? Mitt Romney.


38 posted on 12/22/2015 5:47:15 PM PST by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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To: TornadoAlley3

Neat, thanks for sharing.


39 posted on 12/22/2015 5:47:34 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: moehoward

Iowa is only the kiss of death if you’re a Santorum or a Gingrich with no money, no organization and no presence in the following primary states.


40 posted on 12/22/2015 5:48:48 PM PST by erod (Chicago Conservative | Cruz or Lose!)
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