Nice trick you got going there. I have my own magic trick too:
And of course we were talkng about Iowa as you well knew. I repeat, Cruz will CRUSH Trump in Iowa.
Posted on 12/20/2015 7:42:33 AM PST by VinL
Donald Trump, the national front-runner, keeps his big lead in two of the three early states of New Hampshire and South Carolina, but now Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has moved past Trump into a lead of his own in Iowa.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio remains in double digits in New Hampshire and South Carolina, and Governor Chris Christie has now shown upward movement in New Hampshire, doubling his support there in the last month.
The backdrop to all this is a mood of anxiety - both economic and personal security - pervading the GOP electorate in these early states. Nine in ten in all states feel the country is now a more dangerous and insecure place, including 95 percent of Iowa GOP voters who say that, and nine in ten feel the nation's economic system is one that hurts them instead of benefits them. Terrorism and national security are now specifically front-and-center on primary voters' minds: in Iowa, 61 percent say it is their top decision-making criteria for candidates, ahead of the economy; in New Hampshire, 66 percent cite terrorism and security ahead of 28 percent on the economy.
horseracegopiadecember.jpg
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
Don’t forget the Iowa Caucus winner in 1980-George HW Bush.
Get it?
Baloney. I met and campaigned for Cruz in his senatorial bid, and can honestly say the man puts his love of conservative values above himself.
Say..... versus Trump? Who is just in it for himself. And winning. I could give you innumerable examples, but I figure you know your candidate pretty well.
And Romney was actually initially declared the winner, thus deflating Santorum’s win.
Am I going to believe you or believe what every media outlet is saying:
fivethirtyeight.com/features/marco-rubios-lousy-ground-game-in-iowa-will-probably-cost-him-votes
Not even close. Trump is gonna get clobbered but good
I don’t thinks so. Cruz has got one, He doesn’t wear it on his sleeve like Trump, but it is big.
But good?
Here's the reality... This is what it looks like consistently across the United States that seems to get ignored.
Trump +27% over Cruz.
"2016 Republican Presidential Nomination
Monmouth - Trump 41, Cruz 14, Rubio 10, Carson 9, Bush 3, Christie 2, Paul 2, Fiorina 2, Kasich 3, Huckabee 2, Santorum 0, Graham 1, Pataki 1 Trump +27"
The way Yankees vote in NH has absolutely no bearing on the way Southerners vote. Did Romney win SC? Hell, no, inspite of RINO Nikki Haley’s endorsement. Winning Iowa also has no bearing on the who’ll be the nominee. Caucus states are terrible unpredictable, especially Iowa and it usually comes down on who can sound a like a preacher the best. That’s why Cruz will probably win it, but HN is another story. I can see Christie coming in second in NH. Don’t want to see it, but it could happen.
6.9 POINT MARGIN OF ERROR!! This is a desperation psy-ops poll behind the CBS label it’s another Register Poll and it actually shows Cruz lost a point since their last poll. A PPP poll has Trump + 3 which fits a 6.9% margin of Error.
Turn off the alarm bells; shut off the strobe lights.
| Poll | Date |
Trump
|
Cruz
|
Rubio
|
Carson
|
Bush
|
Christie
|
Paul
|
Fiorina
|
Kasich
|
Huckabee
|
Santorum
|
Graham
|
Pataki
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/2 - 12/17 | 34.4 | 17.1 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | Trump +17.3 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 12/16 - 12/17 | 39 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +21 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 12/16 - 12/17 | 34 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Trump +16 |
| ABC News/Wash PostABC/WP | 12/10 - 12/13 | 38 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Trump +23 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 12/10 - 12/13 | 41 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Trump +27 |
| NBC/WSJNBC/WSJ | 12/6 - 12/9 | 27 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -- | -- | -- | Trump +5 |
| CBS/NY TimesCBS/NYT | 12/4 - 12/8 | 35 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +19 |
| USA Today/SuffolkUSA Today | 12/2 - 12/6 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +10 |
| Poll | Date |
Cruz
|
Trump
|
Rubio
|
Carson
|
Bush
|
Paul
|
Fiorina
|
Huckabee
|
Christie
|
Kasich
|
Santorum
|
Pataki
|
Graham
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/4 - 12/17 | 30.2 | 26.2 | 12.3 | 10.0 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Cruz +4.0 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS/YouGov | 12/14 - 12/17 | 40 | 31 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Cruz +9 |
| PPP (D)PPP (D) | 12/10 - 12/13 | 25 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Trump +3 |
| DMR/BloombergDMR/Bloomberg | 12/7 - 12/10 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Cruz +10 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 12/4 - 12/13 | 27 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +1 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 12/7 - 12/10 | 28 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Cruz +2 |
| Loras CollegeLoras | 12/7 - 12/10 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -- | 0 | Cruz +7 |
And of course we were talkng about Iowa as you well knew. I repeat, Cruz will CRUSH Trump in Iowa.
By far the thing that made me smile the most in those polls?
Goober Graham at 1% .... In South Carolina!
God is good.
Hank
LoL. It won’t be a ‘crush’; it could be an eke.
Cruz had 41% in their last poll?
On what planet was that?
2016 could be a repeat of the outcome in 2000, especially since there is greater importance early in the primaries on southern states on March 1 (SEC primaries) where Cruz has great organization and is expected to do well.
A big difference. Bush was still the favorite in most states, Cruz is the big underdog everywhere else. The bandwagon effect isn’t going to work for Cruz even with the liberal media’s help.
You got a bad case of fantasy.
Fantasy world = you
Grounded in reality = me
Clear enough for you?
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