[Responsibility2nd]

This is the theory by this guy at TheHill.com. He says, "Which is why, at this point in the campaign, we should prioritize 'likely GOP voter' polls in early primary states over national and 'total registered GOP voters' polls -- like the Monmouth University poll out last week taken of Iowa GOP voters who have voted in previous caucuses, which shows Cruz winning at 24% (Trump is at 19%). Or, Sunday's Des Moines Register poll of likely Republican caucus-goers, which has Cruz at 31% and Trump 10 percentage points behind."

 

Plus these links...

Gretchen's Take: Iowa poll historical comparisons show big leap for Sen. Cruz

Monday, December 14, 2015 2:16:12 PM      · by 2ndDivisionVet      · 2 replies

 

UPDATE: Cruz overtakes Trump in latest Loras poll

Monday, December 14, 2015 1:52:53 PM      · by 2ndDivisionVet      · 54 replies

The Dubuque Telegraph-Herald ^ | December 14, 2015 | Staff

 

 

With surge in Iowa, Ted Cruz’s plan to win is clicking

Monday, December 14, 2015 2:57:28 AM      · by 2ndDivisionVet      · 22 replies

The Dallas Morning News ^ | December 13, 2015 | Todd J. Gillman

 

 

Huge News in Des Moines Register Poll: Cruz Surges to First with 31%, Trump Follows with 21%

Sunday, December 13, 2015 4:02:08 AM      · by Michael van der Galien      · 74 replies

PJ Media ^ | 12-13-2015 | Michael van der Galien

 

 

Poll: Cruz up 10 over Trump in Iowa

Sunday, December 13, 2015 1:05:14 AM      · by Cincinatus' Wife      · 113 replies

The Washington Examiner ^ | December 12, 2015 |  Curt Mills

 

 

more....

 

 

 

[ripnbang]

Ask yourself...do you REALLY believe that there was that much of a swing in a week? Just think it through...Trump just blasted everyone with Muslim immigration, and got a huge bump...the PTB can’t have that going into a Repub debate, so they had to overhype some Iowa endorsements and make it seem like the polls have suddenly had a 20 point switch overnight...come on...Sure Cruz is probably gaining, Iowa is a good match for him...but 20 point switch (remember CNN poll had Trump up 13 in IA the week before, and now we’re supposed to believe he is down 10? That’s a 23 point swing). It’s all hyped to try to bring the next “threat” to Trump (remember everyone else who was “soaring”?).Soon we’ll be hearing how he is going to drop out again, and then the next polls will show he has gained even more. The latest national poll has hit at 41% and Cruz is less than 20%. Yes, there is no national primary, but it still is a good “pulse check”.