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New Hampshire poll finds Rubio gaining ground on Trump
The Hill ^ | December 11, 2015 | Bradford Richardson

Posted on 12/11/2015 11:49:27 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

click here to read article


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To: conservative98

we miss you W


41 posted on 12/11/2015 12:21:34 PM PST by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPyes but now I must concentratc.;+12, 73, ....carson is the kinder gentler trumping.)
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To: conservative98

I post a story about a poll that shows some interesting statistics about Trump, Rubio and Cruz and you have me “shacking up.”

Get a grip.


42 posted on 12/11/2015 12:22:45 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Of course I do. I always do. What kernel of anti-Trumpism you maybe find won’t stop the inevitable that Trump is going to win.

Conducted interviews by landline and cellular phone:

“These findings are based on the latest CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Nine hundred and fifty-four(954) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between November 30 and December 7, 2015. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.2 percent. Included were four hundred and two (402) likely 2016 Republican Primary voters (MSE = +/-4.9) and three hundred and seventy (370) likely 2016 Democratic Primary voters (MSE = +/-5.1). “

Direct link:

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/primary2016_gopprimary120815.pdf


43 posted on 12/11/2015 12:25:10 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Rubio, the GOPe p!ss boy?


44 posted on 12/11/2015 12:29:13 PM PST by Wilderness Conservative
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To: The Iceman Cometh

She’s getting way beyond desperate.


45 posted on 12/11/2015 12:30:42 PM PST by Mollypitcher1 (I have not yet begun to fight....John Paul Jones)
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To: Red Steel

Thank you.


46 posted on 12/11/2015 12:32:01 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Mears

And you are plainly a lady of very fine judgement!


47 posted on 12/11/2015 12:35:01 PM PST by Fightin Whitey
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To: conservative98

NO wonder Jeb polls at 11 in his poll.


48 posted on 12/11/2015 12:42:28 PM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Is his Adrian’s brother Christian Gray ?


49 posted on 12/11/2015 12:43:11 PM PST by Perdogg (I'm on a no Carb diet- NO Christie Ayotte Romney or Bush - stay outta da Bushesh)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

there’s this poll also: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3371213/posts

Which is correct?


50 posted on 12/11/2015 12:43:15 PM PST by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: MNDude

Did you read the article I posted?


51 posted on 12/11/2015 12:45:50 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

This means Bush gets less votes....this is OK with me. Rubio wont win but I want Bush OUT!


52 posted on 12/11/2015 12:48:07 PM PST by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.l)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

CNN had it 32 -14 three days ago between Trump and Rubio

This says 21 - 17

Avg= 26.5 - 15.5


53 posted on 12/11/2015 12:51:12 PM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support the troops pray for their victory!)
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To: SoConPubbie
You Trump supporters are real crybabies.

Do you or do you not hate Trump?

Let's have a little honesty here.

54 posted on 12/11/2015 1:00:56 PM PST by The Iceman Cometh (Proud Teabagging Barbarian Terrorist Hobbit Crazy Cracker Son-of-a-Bitch!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Rubio? Who comes up with this nonsense?


55 posted on 12/11/2015 1:04:22 PM PST by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: The Iceman Cometh

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3371417/posts#20

Well, apparently from this (preferred poll and using your hyperbole) 73% of NH voters “hate” Trump.


56 posted on 12/11/2015 1:06:13 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Sounds like you would agree with the ACLU guy from Colorado who wants Trump supporters to be shot. You’re in good company.


57 posted on 12/11/2015 1:53:09 PM PST by The Iceman Cometh (Proud Teabagging Barbarian Terrorist Hobbit Crazy Cracker Son-of-a-Bitch!)
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To: The Iceman Cometh

What an ugly thing to say.


58 posted on 12/11/2015 1:53:41 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE; All
"............There is no doubt that Carson has choked away his lead. The best poll indicator out there is the Real Clear Politics chart, which is a lagging indicator of the race, meaning it's behind the current state of the race at all times. Carson finally took the lead there on November 4. At that point he'd led 3 of 5 national polls. He'd eliminated Trump's lead and was in the driver's seat.

However he simply wasn't willing to put in the time and effort needed to win from there. He didn't do his policy homework, he wasn't willing to set aside a book tour to run for President, and now he's lost almost half his support over the last month.

Bush? Well, what is there to say about him? He was up 17-11 on Chris Christie in January, and up 17-9-9 over Scott Walker and Donald Trump in July. But now he's having trouble breaking out of the margin of error.

Let's see where their support is going:

_____11/4 12/11 Change
Trump 24.6 30.4 +5.8
Cruz 8.8 15.6 +6.8
Rubio 11.0 13.6 +2.6
Carson 24.8 13.6 -11.2
Bush 5.8 3.6 -2.2

Obviously these numbers don't quite sum to zero, meaning the frontrunners have pulled a couple of points from other candidates as well, notably Carly Fiorina. But most of the support here is simply shifting from Carson and Bush, to Trump, Rubio, and Cruz.

However Bush and Carson still have 17.2 points between them. That's a lot of Republican voters who haven't yet felt the need to choose between the top three candidates. On top of that, the remaining candidates have another 10 points between them. Whom everyone prefers as a second choice is very important to watch in the coming weeks."... Ben Carson and Jeb Bush blew it. Here's where their support is going.

**************

Now, look at this section "NH 2016 GOP Presidential Primary -- First and Second Choice Combined" in this poll

59 posted on 12/11/2015 2:01:24 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Red Steel

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3371417/posts?page=59#59


60 posted on 12/11/2015 2:03:27 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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