Just a reminder... It is only November 2015. I support Cruz today, you support Trump today. Things can, and have in past elections, changed. I will not say “Trump is toast “. That would be naive It would also be naive of you to say “Cruz is toast”. We both may be looking at a third person a year from now, even though neither one of us may be thrilled about it.
It is that third person that has me concerned....
I appreciate the nice note, but you’re probably giving me a bit too much credit.
We have two people who are hawking Conservatism.
Trump is a boisterous business man, a charismatic with plenty of national and international executive experience. He has dealt with team leaders and projects for forty years. He had to meet a bottom line with his own money on the line.
He has said and done things in the past as a business man that trouble us. Now he’s had to sit down and develop a platform, and it’s surprisingly good. He is essentially hawking the Reagan platform.
Cruz is a Senator from Texas. He’s done some impressive things. I generally like the guy. In truth he has done some things I don’t care for, but he is hawking a Conservative platform too. He is not a charismatic.
Their standing in the polls reveals who the charismatic man is. In life you either have it or you don’t, Trump does, and Cruz doesn’t.
Trump is drawing across demographic lines. Cruz isn’t. Trump is at 35-38% and Cruz is at 5-10%.
Because Trump is seen as an “Joe Everyman” he can draw across racial, gender, and even political lines.
Cruz is seen as a good Conservative. He is untouchable to some people. He’s not seen as a “Joe Everyman”.
Trump goes into the primaries and draws Democrats, Independents, Moderate Republicans, Conservatives, Men, Women, Blacks, Hispanics...
Cruz goes into the primaries and draws some Conservatives.
I don’t see Democrats, Independents, Moderate Republicans, or an over large slice of Men, Women, Blacks, Hispanics...
So no, I don’t think Cruz has a prayer of getting the nomination.
I’m no seer. This makes sense to me. When the primaries hit, I may be surprised. We will see.
This is how I see it right now.
Take care.
Good post.
I, too, am a Cruz supporter. Frankly I am amazed at how many here seem to believe Trump is one of us. He is not,
Yet if it’s Trump versus Hillary, of course I’ll support Trump - just as I held my nose and voted for Romney in 2012.
To be honest, if I had to bet a month’s pay today on who the GOP nominee will be, I’d put my money on Rubio. And personally, I would choose him even after Trump.
C’est la vie.
As that immortal bard Mick Jagger wrote: “You can’t always get what you want.”
Hank