Posted on 11/16/2015 3:52:15 PM PST by spacejunkie2001
There are about 76 days remaining until Iowa. The polls, overall, show Trump blowing it out and he depends on/lives by, being high in the polls. His "stump" speeches are all about where he is, compared to the other candidates, in the rankings.
Iowa is a state that votes very conservative, very Christian. I contend the entire race has a different fact at the end of voting there, as I believe Cruz will win Iowa. At that point you'll see a seismic shift in the political ring, where Trump is no longer at the top. Part of it will be that someone else won Iowa, but Cruz will gain huge traction by winning, which will also be a major factor.
So...I like Trump and am glad he's taking the machete to the path and bringing out issues that prior to now have been taboo, like deporting illegals.
But...the shift is coming and it will be so because he won't win Iowa.
Not a very good track record.
Exactly. They haven’t exactly been getting it right the past few cycles. How many times can they screw the pooch before they become irrelevant.
Everyone has one.
I dont think you have a good wind direction indicator.
None.
Then likely, he goes the way of Santorum and Huckabee. I don't believe he wins a single primary.
Stop pretending you give a chit about Trump. You are just whistling past the graveyard. Trump will likely win Iowa and run the table. If not he will run the rest of the table. :-)
“Cruz’s problem is Carson”.
You nailed it. Trump effectively hobbled Carson last week, but did not kill him off. He wants Carson to stick around to keep Cruz down in the polls.
Carson may still win Iowa, but that will be all he’ll win.
Trump should run the tables from New Hampshire on out.
Right....
Cause I remember when Howard Dean won Iowa and then screamed he would go on to win the other states... Oh, yeah, he never did. Kerry was the nominee.
And I remember when Rick Santorum won Iowa and then went on to... no, nevermind.
And I remember when Mike Huckabee won Iowa and then went on to... Oh, nevermind that, too!
Iowa is no factor in who wins at then end in MOST elections. Sorry.
The author is right a Trump loss will be devastating to his brand of invincibility. 0-1 is not what the Trumpkins had envisioned.
That is just what the GOPe intended.
exactly my point Mike. Iowa will change things because he won’t be at the top anymore. He counts on that.
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