Hey thanks for posting the link of likely voters chart for today. Their site is pretty cool as you can change the date to get the 5-day rolling average you want. Great tracking info.
Notice Jeb at 4%? Ouch! Adios Jeb!
Can I have a collective OUCH?
I knew I could...
Fox is going crazy, insane anti-Trump today.
They are misrepresenting, misquoting, misdirecting, and seriously MISTAKEN.
Trump Derangement Syndrome has driven all of them crazy.
The polls going Trump’s way is killing them.
And they continue to use KNOWN partisans as pretend neutral commentators: Karl Rove, Rich Lowery, Any female republican panelist except Laura Ingraham, Stephen Hayes, Charles Krauthammer, Brit Hume, etc.
From the NY Times following the 2012 Election, Nov 11, 2012: (This excerpt is only 205 words)
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http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/12/us/politics/the-techniques-behind-the-most-accurate-polls.html?_r=0
Some of the most accurate polling firms this year conducted their polls online. The final poll by Google Consumer Surveys had Mr. Obama ahead in the national popular vote by 2.3 percentage points â very close to his actual margin of 2.6 percentage points, as of Saturday morning. Ipsos, which conducted online polls for Reuters, and the Canadian online polling firm Angus Reid also fared well.
Looking more broadly across the 90 polling firms that conducted at least one likely-voter poll in the final three weeks of the campaign, polling firms that conducted their polls wholly or partially online outperformed others on average. Among the nine in that category, the average error in calling the election result was 2.1 percentage points. That compares with a 3.5-point error for polling firms that used live telephone interviewers and 5.0 points for ârobopolls,â which conducted their surveys by automated script.
The traditional telephone polls had a slight Republican bias on the whole, while the robopolls often had a significant Republican bias. (Even the automated polling firm Public Policy Polling, which often polls for liberal and Democratic clients, projected results that were slightly more favorable for Mr. Romney than he actually achieved.) The online polls had little overall bias, however.
I think 42% is the highest number Trump has achieved in any scientific poll.