[dsm69]

Iowa has always been unpredictable and the winner of the Caucus has not always been the national front runner.

Back in 1980. George H.W. Bush upset national front runner Ronald Reagan in the Iowa caucus for example.

[deport]

Iowa Caucus https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iowa_caucuses

2012 - Rick Santorum (25%), Mitt Romney (25%),
2008 – Mike Huckabee (34%), Mitt Romney (25%),
2004 - GW Bush unopposed
2000 – George W. Bush (41%), Steve Forbes (31%),
1996 – Bob Dole (26%), Pat Buchanan (23%),
1992 – George H. W. Bush (unopposed)
1988 – Bob Dole (37%), Pat Robertson (25%), George H. W. Bush (19%),
1984 – Ronald Reagan (unopposed)
1980 – George H. W. Bush (32%), Ronald Reagan (30%),
1976 – Gerald Ford (45%) and Ronald Reagan (43%)

[AFreeBird]

And thank GOD, that Reagan prevailed!