Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: snarkybob

Perhaps I didn’t make my point clear enough.

Take an extreme case of two candidates.

Candidate 1: 100% know well. 40 % like; 60% dislike.
Candidate 2: 10% know; 80% like; 20% dislike.

A current poll matchup between the two would something like 40%/8% for Candidate 1. He’s winning!

But Candidate 1 has very little, if any room to improve. But if Candidate 2 increases his known percentage to 100% at the same rate, he crushes Candidate 1.

So that’s my point, again: Trump has very little chance to improve to a winning share; others like Cruz do.

Trump has been in the 30-40% range nationally even since the last election. He’s not going much higher.


63 posted on 09/14/2015 10:34:04 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 58 | View Replies ]


To: D-fendr

“So that’s my point, again: Trump has very little chance to improve to a winning share; others like Cruz do.”

Cruz isn’t going to improve enough.
If you’re for Cruz you’re already for him, if you’re not you’re not going to choose him as a second choice. There’s a poll floating around about that very thing somewhere.

It may be somebody else but probably if Trump implodes in the primary then it’ll be Jeb or Kasich.
The rest will end up taking turns being in the lead just like 2012 and in the end fall to the pre-chosen candidate.


65 posted on 09/14/2015 10:41:40 PM PDT by snarkybob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 63 | View Replies ]

To: D-fendr; snarkybob
Trump has been in the 30-40% range nationally even since the last election. He’s not going much higher.

This is the latest GOPe line? It's BS just like how he couldn't get 10%, 20%, etc.

You're severely underestimating how pissed off people are.

75 posted on 09/15/2015 1:45:12 AM PDT by Read Write Repeat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 63 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson