Posted on 08/31/2015 8:32:30 AM PDT by Hojczyk
When Iowa Republicans are asked who they would support in their local caucus, Ben Carson (23%) and Donald Trump (23%) tie for the top spot. The next tier of candidates includes Carly Fiorina (10%) and Ted Cruz (9%), followed by Scott Walker (7%), Jeb Bush (5%), John Kasich (4%), Marco Rubio (4%), and Rand Paul (3%). The last two Iowa caucus victors, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, each garner 2% of the vote. None of the other six candidates included in the poll register more than 1% support.
“These results mark a significant shake-up in the leaderboard from Monmouth’s Iowa poll taken before the first debate,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ. “Carson and, to a lesser extent, Fiorina have surged, while Walker has faded into the background.” In mid-July, Walker was the front runner in Iowa, with Trump and Carson following behind. Since then, Walker’s support has dropped by 15 points, while Carson’s has increased by 15 points and Trump’s by 10 points. Support has also increased for Fiorina by 7 points since Monmouth’s last Iowa poll.
Only 12% of likely Republican caucusgoers say they are completely decided on which candidate they will support in February. Another 42% have a strong preference now but are willing to consider
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/85775b52-ec99-4ad3-bbee-14826bdf86e5.pdf
A surgeon is never a "lump of jello".
A surgeon is never a "lump of jello".
Carson is a safe choice for many people to hide out in while the flak is heavy on other candidates.
The poll yesterday that had Trump 23/Carson 18 was done by Selzer who is considered the gold standard of Iowa pollsters. This new poll today done by Monmouth is a good data point but probably not as accurate.
That said, Ben Carson has been working the past two years in Evangelical circles. He has also been spending money on commercials in Iowa the past two weeks. That explains his rise.
Carson is not filling stadiums with 30,000 people. I don’t see him beating Trump out for the Iowa vote.
Trump=No
Carson=Yes
I’d rather have brains in the White House rather than just a big mouth.
That’s ridiculous.
Ben Carson is a nice man. We need someone harder for president.
I can’t see Carson being tough on the enemy. I can see him as VP.
“The poll yesterday that had Trump 23/Carson 18 was done by Selzer who is considered the gold standard of Iowa pollsters.”
The Monmouth margin of error of 5% could probably have him at 18 also.
Not this year
I might be ok with that but I’d rather have cruz as vp. Give carson surgeon general.
ok. I’m fine with that.
What this indicates to me is that the RNC may already be manipulating circumstances in the background. If they can insert Carson into the fray as a wedge to defeat Trump in Iowa, they then can propel the image that Trump has peaked.
Carson has no money.
______________________________
Not if the RNC cartel pumps him flush with their candy buyout money. After they use him to destroy Trump, they will trash him for Jeb.
-— If they can insert Carson into the fray -—
There is a big evangelical vote in IA which is a natural constituency for Carson.
Huck and Santorum have done well there in the past.
I think she'd be worse than the others. She loves Hillary, is a feminazi, and hasn't paid off her debt from her Senate run. Those are people who worked for her, trusted her to hold up her end of the deal and pay them, yet she can't seem to get even that small task done. If she doesn't care about them, she wouldn't care about us.
No, thank you.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.