Posted on 07/10/2015 5:06:48 PM PDT by GraceG
The Earth could be headed for a 'mini ice age' researchers have warned.
A new study claims to have cracked predicting solar cycles - and says that between 2020 and 2030 solar cycles will cancel each other out.
This, they say, will lead to a phenomenon known as the 'Maunder minimum' - which has previously been known as a mini ice age when it hit between 1646 and 1715, even causing London's River Thames to freeze over.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
A 60% (or 40%) drop in input energy to the Earth is DEATH.
No. He doesn’t.
SS 24 has been toned down and we’re on the tail end of it. SS 25 will be less active and 26 should put us in the ‘minimum’.
This is an ancient cycle and there’s nothing we can do about it.
The sun isn’t going to burn out. (And I think that the 60% reduction is a decimal error. It should probably be .06%)
Most climatologists do not predict things. The describe what has happened.
For example: The average maximum temperature in July over the last 30 years has been 118, in Yuma, Arizona.
Records such at that are useful for figuring out what is likely.
“The sun isn’t going to burn out. (And I think that the 60% reduction is a decimal error. It should probably be .06%)”
I believe the 60% reduction in solar activity is the reduction in sunspot activity, not in total solar output!
I believe that you are correct, sir!
We’re DOOOMMED again!
Ping.
We have been studying the sun since man stepped out of the cave and looked at it. In more modern science we know and understand the cyclical nature that we could observe, but now with orbital observation platforms, we can see parts of it we could not see before.
What I think they have observed more clearly is the cyclical changes in the east and west hemispheres, then added that data to the north and south polar stuff we already knew. Using orbital geometry and computers they can now predict a much more complex picture of what the sun should be doing in 2030 as it relates to Earths orbital position and season at the time.. If they are correct and at worst they might be off a few months, we will endure a modern day extended minimum for a number of years..
Long enough to start rebuilding glaciers in Europe and perhaps seeing things that have not occurred in 600 years or so.
Al Gore’s Asian carp pond might freeze over...lol
It’s not a measurement of total energy..It’s the measurement of the effects created by sunspots and cme’s..
I don’t know what the total energy drop, averaged over time would be. Certainly not 60%. But it’s significant because it causes cooling in the same way that 1999-2001 caused warming..
I could do some looking, and see what the percentage of increase of activity in those years was measured at.. I don’t recall it exactly but it was in the vicinity of 30% or so..over the norm.
In any case if they are right, it will be pretty disruptive for those in the northern areas like Canada and Northern Europe..and Russia will have issues..especially up North..
Make that 300 years or so...not 600
These guys are not predicting the weather per say...The sun is not going to cool..
This is a cyclical orbital mechanics observation that they have identified will likely affect us in 2030.
It has everything to do with what hemisphere of the sun (it rotates) will be facing us at we orbit it.
What they are saying is that the cycles will cancel each other out and the side of the sun we will be facing will be very calm and docile for a number of years...The Maunder Minimum.
I would try to explain this further but it’s way over my pay grade as to the mathematics..
Valentina Zharkova is a Professor in Mathematics at Northumbria University. She has a BSc/MSc in Applied Mathematics and Astronomy, a Ph.D. in Astrophysics, certificate in project management.
https://www.northumbria.ac.uk/about-us/our-staff/z/professor-valentina-zharkova/
In Texas this summer they cannot even predict weather accurately 8 hours out. From no rain predicted to historic rain in 8 hours.
The AGW proponents did not properly analyze solar energetic output. They based everything on visible light. That is what happens when half wits do science.
> No. He doesn’t.
I’m responding to the headline. And he’s a “she”.
The sun appears quite normal recently..Winter was cold in part because the sun was in a minimum and entering a new cycle. it is well into that cycle now as the pictures show.
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtime-images.html
We’ve already been in an extended minimum for about eight years or more. Activity during the most recent maximum (2012-2013 or thereabouts) was very low and infrequent.
Not a radio expert, but what these researchers are talking about is a very quiet sun so without sun spots your radio should work very well.
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