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Poll: Scott Walker now leads by double digits in Iowa [analysis]
Hot Air ^ | Allahpundit

Posted on 04/28/2015 1:30:08 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

Via the Washington Times, this is worth blogging if only because, despite the field being ridiculously crowded, there are realistically only two or three guys who could win both Iowa and New Hampshire. Rand Paul could do it if the Ron Paul rEVOLution in both states turns out in droves, but he has yet to make a splash in early polls and he’ll face bruising attacks from the right before those states go to vote. Marco Rubio could do it but he’ll have to cobble together a plurality by clawing votes from other top-flight contenders across the spectrum — Bush, Cruz, Huckabee, and Scott Walker. If anyone’s going to do it, it’s probably Walker himself. He’s got an Iowa pedigree, executive experience, and the sort of evangelical bona fides that always plays well with Iowa Republicans. And, unlike the last two winners of the caucuses, he’s a legitimate threat to win the nomination. If you’re an Iowa social con, you could vote for Walker and feel good knowing that you really might be launching the next president into political orbit.

The latest from PPP: Walker 23, Rubio 13, Bush 12.

[snip]

A 38/37 favorable rating sounds bad until you realize that Chris Christie’s rating is … 28/50. (To put that in perspective, even Donald Trump manages 40/40.) What’s the secret to Walker’s success? Simple: He’s the guy whom every faction within the party can happily tolerate.

[snip]

Most candidates see their support swing, sometimes wildly, between self-identified tea partiers, opponents, and neutrals, but Walker’s putting up (relatively) big, consistent numbers across all three groups. Interestingly, although he’s perceived as a center-right candidate, his ideological base lies firmly on the right:

[snip]

At 28 percent, he doubles up his closest competitor among the “very conservative” crowd. (That “closest competitor,” incidentally, is, er, Mike Huckabee, suggesting that social conservatism is strongly informing the “very conservative” demographic.) Walker also fares well among “somewhat conservative” and “moderate” Republicans, although it’s Rand Paul who leads the last group — a bit of a surprise given that he’s traditionally identified himself as a tea partier. Or maybe not such a surprise: I think Rand’s been repositioning himself as a “moderate” candidate for awhile now, knowing that he’d have trouble outflanking Cruz among conservatives. As the base has turned back towards hawkishness and the field of social cons has grown larger, Paul realized that he’s going to have all kinds of trouble peeling off tea-party votes. His new coalition is libertarians, moderates, and young adults who like his unorthodoxy on issues like sentencing reform. What that means, though, ironically, is that Paul may find himself in direct competition less with Ted Cruz, as everyone has anticipated, than with Jeb Bush for middle-of-the-roaders.

As it turns out, though, Rand isn’t the top pick of young Republicans. At least not in Iowa:

[snip]

Only Walker and Jeb are in double digits across all three age demographics, and Jeb’s barely in double digits in two of them. One other curious footnote here: Once again we find Marco Rubio performing better with older voters than he does with younger ones. That’s not supposed to happen — the young, baby-faced, optimistic candidate is supposed to excite twentysomethings — but we saw it in last week’s CNN poll too. I still don’t understand why. Maybe Rubio’s American exceptionalism pitch has some special appeal to older Republicans that it doesn’t have for younger ones. Or maybe it’s true that younger Republicans skew libertarian and Rubio, a firm social conservative and the most outspoken hawk in the field, simply alienates them.

[full piece with graphics]


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; gopprimary; jobs; walker
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To: napscoordinator
Well, Walker certainly got you with his parsing of words. I'd put a hefty wager that all there was was ‘reception’ (iow, lesbian mock wedding).

Would you go to ‘reception’ celebrating an adulteress affair?
And in God's eyes, exactly what would be the difference between such a reception and a reception celebrating a lesbian wedding?

21 posted on 04/29/2015 8:30:19 PM PDT by bramps (Even if I have to write it in, Ted Cruz is whom I'm voting for.)
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To: bramps

No I wouldn’t go to a reception for lesbians but I wouldn’t go to two fags house either. God knows what was going on during that time. At least the lebians reception was in public with many people. Cruz’s party was 3 men....two totally gay.


22 posted on 04/29/2015 8:48:50 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Walker for President 2016. The only candidate with actual real RESULTS!!!!! The rest...talkers!)
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To: napscoordinator

Could not agree more. Like Cruz better than Walker on everything, but retention and more workers will kill America.

I don’t understand how he can be so stupid on this issue.


23 posted on 04/29/2015 9:18:17 PM PDT by amihow
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To: napscoordinator
My point was that Walker (who claims to be an Evangelical Christian) went to an event celebrating a homosexual relationship. To me this clearly shows a disregard for the word of God.

Cruz going to an event merely hosted by homosexuals violates nothing biblical. No matter who was hosting the party, they were sinners, we all are. Unlike Walker, Cruz was not there to celebrate the sin of homosexual behavior in any way. God doesn't condemn homosexuals (unlike you seem to, judging by the language in your reply). God condemns the acts.

I would implore you to show your priest or pastor this conversation ( especially this comment: No I wouldn't’t go to a reception for lesbians but I wouldn't’t go to two fags house either) and listen carefully to what he says.

24 posted on 04/29/2015 10:02:01 PM PDT by bramps (Even if I have to write it in, Ted Cruz is whom I'm voting for.)
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To: bramps

Oh well. Walker has announced he supports a Constitutional Amendment to protect marriage. I think that trumps everything that Cruz has done so far. Although Obama and Cruz are awfully chummy these days with the TTP (Trade). I was one of the few that said that on some issues Obama and Cruz are big supporters. I of course was told that was nonsense, but since they both came together for TTP suddenly my criticism has gotten awfully quiet. Anyway, 17 months to go so who knows what is going to happen.


25 posted on 04/29/2015 11:12:48 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Walker for President 2016. The only candidate with actual real RESULTS!!!!! The rest...talkers!)
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To: bramps

http://www.thenewcivilrightsmovement.com/davidbadash/scott_walker_calls_for_constitutional_amendment_to_make_same_sex_marriage_bans_constitutional

Here is the link to the Constitutional Amendment against fag marriage for your info.


26 posted on 04/29/2015 11:14:07 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Walker for President 2016. The only candidate with actual real RESULTS!!!!! The rest...talkers!)
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To: napscoordinator
One thing I'm fairly certain Scott Walker and I agree on (there are many more) is that language like ‘fag’ marriage does nothing to advance any traditional marriage argument. It just reinforces many on the left’s views of some Republicans and alleged Christians as hateful.

If you had a chance to discuss the subject with Walker face to face, would you ask him why he attended his ‘fag’ cousins ‘fag’ wedding”?

And what do you think his reaction to your question would be and why?

27 posted on 04/30/2015 7:07:24 AM PDT by bramps (Even if I have to write it in, Ted Cruz is whom I'm voting for.)
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To: bramps

Well that’s fine but keep in mind that that is the reason it is becoming acceptable because of the nice wording and images. Sorry but it is ugly and unreasonable. You are trying to wrap it up in a bow so that it is accepted and make the Republicans look all supportive. Why do you care what a left minded person thinks anyway? You and I agree on 99.9 percent of everything and still have differences. I don’t want the left to have any of our beliefs or I certainly don’t want to water down our beliefs to appease them.


28 posted on 04/30/2015 7:10:59 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Walker for President 2016. The only candidate with actual real RESULTS!!!!! The rest...talkers!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Posts about associations with homos are very interesting. It seems that if a homo armed with the media walks into a pizza or cake bakery and asks for a super gay cake the media can destroy said bakery. If a gay friend of a Republican candidate invites said Republican to anything, the same destruction ensues.

What power these homos have.

29 posted on 04/30/2015 7:19:03 AM PDT by DungeonMaster (God is very intollerant, why shouldn't I be?)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Maybe Rubio’s American exceptionalism pitch has some special appeal to older Republicans that it doesn’t have for younger ones

I think that's it. He's so patriotic and loves this country so much. Husband and I enjoy listening to him speak. Not my first or second choice but I wouldn't be horribly upset if he got the nod. I think he's more VP material though. I like Scott Walker because he's already been vetted and I think as a Governor, he would have the experience we need. As I've said before, I sure wish Walker/Cruz would team up or Cruz/Walker but I don't see that happening.

30 posted on 04/30/2015 7:25:09 AM PDT by ozarkgirl
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To: amihow

(By supporting retention of illegals for his wife’s corporate buddies...)

Huh?


31 posted on 04/30/2015 7:41:30 AM PDT by winner3000
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To: winner3000

Please check out Cruz’s wifes prifessional history. She is in the corporatist world both feet. More H1b visas and more cheap labor is the desire of that world.


32 posted on 04/30/2015 8:38:22 AM PDT by amihow
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To: napscoordinator; bramps; Isara; CatherineofAragon; SoConPubbie; VinL; txhurl; PROCON; piytar

He was there to talk about Israel to some Jewish businessmen. Not everything is about sex.


33 posted on 07/14/2015 8:58:13 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; napscoordinator
"No I wouldn’t go to a reception for lesbians but I wouldn’t go to two fags house either. God knows what was going on during that time. At least the lebians reception was in public with many people. Cruz’s party was 3 men....two totally gay."

Okay, naps, I was just reading your recent posts, and it seems Ted Cruz is driving you insane, because you are positively frothing at the mouth with hate. And I don't use that word lightly.

But you have actually accused him of supporting queers and of BEING ONE HIMSELF. I don't know what has come over you, but you are absolutely disgusting, and apparently as crazy as a bat.

#46

#62

#56

34 posted on 07/15/2015 7:04:42 AM PDT by CatherineofAragon (("This is a Laztatorship. You don't like it, get a day's rations and get out of this office."))
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