Conversely, a simple model seldom works well, due to the fact that it doesn't take into consideration the various components that the actual system has in it.
Weathermen cannot accurately predict the weather more than 3 days into the future - yet we are to believe that these same programs, on these same machines can actually predict the weather 10, 50 or 100 years in the future.
“Weathermen cannot accurately predict the weather more than 3 days into the future - yet we are to believe that these same programs, on these same machines can actually predict the weather 10, 50 or 100 years in the future.”
Indeed. And the 3-day limit on weather prediction has been mathematically proven using chaos theory. Would love to see someone do the same thing with so-called “climate change” and publish the results. Should be easy enough to do for an adept chaos theorist.