"Good Heavens, Miss Sakimoto, you're Beautiful!"
Posted on 01/27/2015 4:56:02 PM PST by Libloather
National Weather Service experts misjudged the path and impact of the blizzard that struck the Northeast on Monday and Tuesday, in large part because they trusted the wrong forecasting model, several independent meteorologists said.
Rather than rely on their own forecasting system—upgraded in recent weeks—the federal experts placed their faith instead on a well-regarded European computer model that predicted the worst of this storm would squarely hit New York City. That system earlier had outperformed the U.S. forecasting system in predicting the path of superstorm Sandy.
This time, the European forecasting model was wrong, several commercial forecasters said. That model, one of four complex computer simulations normally used to calculate weather patterns along the Eastern seaboard, predicted that the heaviest snow would fall between 50 and 100 miles farther west than actually occurred. Still, it correctly calculated the broader outlines of the blizzard. As predicted, the storm pounded parts of Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Maine, with winds in excess of 50 mph and snow in some locales up to 30 inches deep.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Wish I were you! It’s still snowing here and I have near 30 inches of global warming surrounding me… but just another day in New England.
Never fell for all the hype… you can smell the snow when it is coming..
i Had a strong sense on Saturday night when I took doggie out.
LOL.
What BS. I calculated the same and didn't even stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
YEARS ago, my mom got so frustrated with my dad tuning in/watching the weather on TV maybe every hour (could have been every 30 minutes - ), every day, every year, that she finally said with MUCH annoyance:
‘Why don’t you step outside and see - ???’
I bet she said this more than once -
Yep!
My dad used to go outside and see. He would stand on our covered porch next to a metal post...one day lightening hit the post next to him and jumped to the next one on the other side of him, lucky he was not fried; he did get a jolt as did my dog that was at his side. Maybe it was a good thing your dad was trying to find out on TV.
This sounds like just about every winter storm to hit central Alabama in my lifetime. It is rare that we don’t get hit with at least one winter storm warning every winter that turns into a big cold wet dreary day because the low cutting across the gulf didn’t follow the predicted path. All of the local weather people are on nonstop predicting snow, and all we get is rain.
But they can tell us with absolute certainty that “global warming” and/or “climate change” will destroy the planet in X years. Based on Dr. Mann’s “hockey stick,” and other flawless predictors, of course.
Holy smokes - your dad was standing by a metal post??!
Well, perhaps now it was good Dad used the TV forecast guy to find out!
Here is southern Calif, we’ve been dancing for rain and we had a bit the other day. We stood outside before it rained and in all my life I don’t think I’ve smelled sulphur in the air more than that day.
Always watch the behaviors of various types of birds. The sky is their life force business.
Yes, our covered porch was held up by a large metal post on each side of the front. They were painted to match the frame house so though we knew they were metal I guess he just didn’t make the connection or thought it would never happen to him. My dog was totally freaked by storms after that and would hide under a bed, but my dad kept going out to watch. Sounds crazy I know but he was not killed by a storm so guess he was right.
There is no such thing as a “snow shower” used by “weatherpeople”-
Webster defines a shower as “a fall of RAIN”
morons.....
Okay, so “historically” speaking, the “monster” “Nor’ Beaster” turned out to be a popcorn fart. Look at it this way, we had “historic weather forecasts” and “historic press conferences” by idiot politicians and nobody got killed.
Thanks for posting that!! I love it.
My wife and I went to a lecture at the Boston Museum of Science back around 2000, I think, where they had some bigwig from the National Weather Service talking about computer models, and how in 3-5 years, they would be able to predict weather down to city block size areas up to two weeks in advance with high accuracy.
I think of that often, and there is one word it brings to mind every time: Hubris.
It is still snowing in Red Hampshire...
I figure we got close to 30 inches, and there was a lot of drifting. Good thing though, fluffy and dry,not heavy and wet. Big, BIG difference.
Joe Bastardi's Saturday Summary January 24, 2015
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