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To: AuH2ORepublican; campaignPete R-CT; Impy; fieldmarshaldj
>> 16% is ridiculously low. In 2012, 51% of Iowa GOP “likely caucusgoers” were Evangelical or “born-again” Christians: <<

To hear the media describe it in 2012, you'd think the demographics of Iowa citizens were about 99% "Evangelical" and 1% everyone else, since the ONLY religious group they ever discussed the voting habits of in Iowa was that group, and made it sound like they represent the beliefs of all Iowa voters.

I looked up the ACTUAL breakdown by religion in Iowa, and in reality its almost evenly split between white evangelical protestants (25%) and Catholics (23%). http://www.beliefnet.com/Faiths/2004/11/State-By-State-Percentage-Of-White-Evangelicals-Catholics-And-Black-Protestants.aspx# ) Protestants as a whole form a narrow 52% majority (so that means about 25% of Iowa voters are mainline protestant), making the state pretty balanced equally between different religious faiths and Christian traditions.

It's no Alabama-style bible belt state where everyone is born again, despite the media's attempts to portray it as such. It would be like claiming Australia (currently equally split three ways between Catholics, Anglicans, other Christian denominations) and is a gung-ho Roman Catholic nation and votes for whoever the Pope wants.

If Evangelicals make up a majority of Iowa caucus voters, then they must have a far greater turnout than any other religious faith in Iowa.

137 posted on 01/13/2015 6:08:13 PM PST by BillyBoy (Impeach Obama? Yes We Can!)
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To: BillyBoy; campaignPete R-CT; Impy; fieldmarshaldj

“If Evangelicals make up a majority of Iowa caucus voters, then they must have a far greater turnout than any other religious faith in Iowa.”


You are assuming that Iowans have an equal propensity to vote Republican irrespective of their religion, and that turnout at caucuses is akin to that at primaries. Iowa Evangelical Protestants are heavily Republican (particularly the Dutch in the NW corner of the state, which have an outsized influence on GOP contests), and participation in caucuses is so time-consuming that only the most politically active Republicans participate. If white Evangelical Protestants are 25% of Iowa’s population, then it shouldn’t come as a big surprise if they are 51% of GOP caucus goers.

BTW, the most heavily Catholic part of Iowa is the Dubuque area, and while a lot of pro-life Dubuque Catholics participate in the GOP caucuses, the city as a whole (and the entire region, for that matter) votes like 60% Democrat, and I suspect that a majority of Iowa Catholics vote Democrat.


156 posted on 01/13/2015 6:55:53 PM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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