[Impy]

17%. I’d guess most of Huntsman’s NH voters will be voting in the rat primary in 2016.

[campaignPete R-CT]

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/new-hampshire/exit-polls

Even if half the Indys in NH leave the GOP primary and switch to the DEM (it will be more like 1/3 or 1/4 as those INDYs inclined to the DEMs did not vote heavily in the ‘12 race) ... even still ... there is a substantial Huntsman vote in half the state. Outside of the 2 suburban eastern counties.

The primary electorate in NH has become liberal. 62% described themselves as moderate to liberal on social philosophy. Just Leave me out of it.

[campaignPete R-CT]

Romney's strength was in the eastern "suburbs" where there was no antipathy towards "Boston". Bush Romney are hated in the west where Paul will win ... but 1/3 will vote for somebody else NOT paul, not Romney, not Bush. Yes, north and west is only 25% of the vote. There's more going on there than just Vermontification.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:New_Hampshire_Republican_Presidential_Primary_Election_Results_by_Town,_2012.png