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According to Gohmert, if 29 Republicans vote for someone else besides Boehner, they can get to the second round. It is on the youtube at 1:00:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gq7ZHl-INEs

So it only takes 29 Republicans to get to the second round and that's where they can pick up enough to dump Boehner. The momentum will be against Boehner at that point in the elections.

I don't know if Dems will vote for Boehner on the first round, but the Republicans need to make a stand against Boehner. We are in no danger of losing the Speakership to Pelosi and if Dems vote for Boehner, it's going to upset their constituents and it will make it more obvious how the Dems and RINOs are in cahoots.

We don't have anything to lose and a lot to gain. Yes, individual conservative Reps could suffer under Boehner, but they already do. The vitriol against conservatives by establishment RINOs was palpable during the election. I wish they would expend that energy against Obama’s agenda.