John Gizzi write up on Gibson’s seat.
He ain’t giving the rats much of shot.
I sense a lot of wishful thinking in that article. Make no mistake, the Democrats will be very competitive in the NY-19, even if a Green Party candidate runs (and the main reason why the Green got 11% in NY-21 was because the RAT nominee was some filmmaker with no political experience that was dragged out at the next-to-last minute when Congressman Owens abruptly retired).
That being said, John Faso should be favored to hold the seat for the GOP, and Pete Lopez and Steve McLaughlin should be fine as well (although Lopez would be better than McLaughlin because he represents more of the district).