I'm not that optimistic.
In 2008 American Jews supported Obama by 78%.
In 2012, they supported Obama by 70%.
Yesterday, I read a poll from a Jewish organization that said just 65% of Jewish voters voted for a Democrat Congressional candidate.
I think that 65% is misleading.
Most American Jews live in states and Congressional Districts where Democrats win easily.
That fact can reduce voter turn out in a non-presidential election like 2014.
In 2016, I think Jewish support for Democrats will go right back to the 70%-80% range where it has been for decades.
I think Conservative optimism about Orthodox Jews is also incorrect.
In America, Orthodox Jews use welfare at twice the rate of other white Americans, and the median family income for Orthodox Jews is below the average for other white Americans.
A majority of Orthodox Jews will continue to vote Republican, but it is not a huge majority, and it is certainly not enough to offset the huge majority of secular Jews who vote against Republicans.
“...huge majority of secular Jews who vote against Republicans...?
Will someone please explain what a “secular Jew” is?
(an oxymoron that can truly drive one nuts)
IMHO
If you’d like to be on or off, please FR mail me.
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For decades it seemed like registering as a dem was as sacrosanct as Bar/Bat Mitzvahs and circumcisions. My parents were democrats at one time but became Repubs around the same time as Pres. Reagan, and for the same reasons, they didn’t leave the party, the party left them.
“In 2008 American Jews supported Obama by 78%.
In 2012, they supported Obama by 70%.
Yesterday, I read a poll from a Jewish organization that said just 65% of Jewish”
OK, so the Dims are bleeding 2.16% of my Tribe per year.
In short, in a decade if the trend continues, Jewish people will be a reliable Republican block.
i disagree with you. I ive in the west, not california...the Jews i know are conservative. My East coast family is a bit different, but many are coming around.