There are a couple of trip-line points:
1. The first indication of Ebola in more civilized parts of Africa (Egypt, South Africa, Morocco.)
2. The first indication of a case “in the wild” off the continent.
3. The first indication of a case “in the wild” in China, Russia, Europe.
4. The first indication of a case “in the wild” in the Western Hemisphere.
I think we will see #1 soon. #2-4 will fall in fast order.
I am not expecting a flash fire, but I think once the walls to “western” populations fall, the whole thing will fall fast.
I would also expect if we see break outs in China or Russia population centers, its game over. I think they would make a breakout happen here. And vice versa. Yes, I know how “tin foil hat” that sounds, but it makes economic and military sense.
Lice are everywhere, but not a problem in civilized countries.
I know it’s over-simplistic, but you get my drift.
And my personal belief is that if it gets TOO bad, it is the pale horseman, which would surprise me even less.
1. The first indication of Ebola in more civilized parts of Africa (Egypt, South Africa, Morocco.)
They are more civilized in an “in a world of the blind, the one eyed man is king” sort of way.
I think I read an article the other day about a case in Saudi Arabia? Any one remember? Guess there will be more when everyone converges on Mecca.