We have a roughly even or better shot in 10 rat held seats.
SD, MT, WV are (knock on wood) sure things.
Then there is AR, AK, LA, NC.
The toughest 3, IA, CO, MI
I feel the best about Iowa.
Beyond those victories are possible, but difficult. Target # 11 is surely NH, Scott Brown has a decent shot at closing the gap.
NJ Poll, Booker (D) 47% - Bell (R) 37%.
Booker is pathetic, even a weak challenger like Bell holds him under 50% (and even Lonegan did respectably against
him).
Any semblance of a top-tier opponent and he would probably be dead meat. NJ is NOT one of Moran’s “14”.
Meanwhile in another long shot race, Virginia (which IS part of Moran’s 14), things do not look good.
Mark Warner (D) 53%, Ed Gillespie (R) 28%, Rob Sarvis (L/Soros) 5%. 28% is embarrassing, could Warner be headed to another ridiculous landslide?
The other 2 of the “14” are Minnesota and Oregon. I’d put MN right after NH, in Oregon I am not impressed by our candidate. I’d have to rate NJ ahead of OR and VA at this point.
Wehby not looking good in Oregon, as to be expected give her failings as a candidate.
Survey USA poll.
Merkely (D) 52%
Monica Wehby (R) 33%
The gubernatorial race is a little closer, ***tzhaber (D) leads Richardson (R) by 48%-36%.