Illinois Republicans should concentrate on gaining seats in the U.S. House, state senate, and state house.”
This is true, however, I do believe Rauner has a good shot at it as so many people in this State are fed up. The question is how will the collar counties surrounding Chicago vote. And Cook County that contains some more conservative and Reagan Dems in towns within it, how will they vote? This area of the State will decide the election.
In 2012, Obama got 74% of the vote in Cook Co. He got 54% in McHenry Co., 53% in Lake Co., and 51% in Will Co.
There are no “conservative or Reagan dems” in Cook County, but there are moderate Whites with whom the Republicans can win, I think Rauner will do well with them.
I don’t see how how Quinn wins. Outside of Cook county he lost to Brady by 20 points and narrowly won only 3 other heavily democrat counties (while losing even in heavily democrat Rock Island), the numbers Phil posted are Obama’s numbers not Quinn’s, they are totally irrelevant, totally. He’s going to do WORSE this time, not better, and he had to steal it last time. He sure as hell ain’t getting 53% when he got under 47% 4 years ago, that’s ridiculous.
Unlike with the conservative Brady in 2010, the RINO establishment is firmly behind Rauner.