Likely
AK
AR
MI
NC
SD
WV
Possibly
CO
IA
LA
MT
VA
Maybe
MN
NH
OR
I agree with your chart for the most part. But, I would switch NC and MT. I’d put MT in the “Likely” column and NC in the “Possibly” column. There is no real strong GOP candidate running in the GOP Primary in NC. Hagan may pull it out.
Montana belongs in “likely” for sure. I have it #3 behind SD and WV, the rat Walsh is trailing in the polls and fundraising.
VA belongs in maybe, Warner is personally popular.