The Governor on our side in the biggest trouble is unquestionably Tom Corbett in PA. The likely Dem nominee will be the Rendellite Tom Wolf (who already has a commanding lead in the primary, which begs the question why Allyson Schwartz gave up her relatively safe House seat only to meet with an embarrassingly large defeat). Quinnipiac (which I believe is also another leftist polling group) had Wolf with an incredible 52-33% lead over Corbett (though a GOP poll had him with a more modest 7% lead).
Curiously, paired against Bob Guzzardi, Wolf still has a 7% lead, but drops to 38% in the poll to Guzzardi’s 31%, so it is more than likely that Guzzardi would be a stronger general election nominee simply because he’s not Corbett. Corbett looks like he’ll win renomination, but could have 40% of the voters voting against him. The closer the race in the primary, the tougher road he’ll have to November (but since the primary is just next month, he’ll have all that time to repair the damage and try to tie Wolf to Zero). Still, I’d rather he had stepped aside. He’s like the reverse of Mark Schweiker (for which had he run for the full term in 2002, Rendell would never have beaten him, and he could’ve continued to serve all the way until 2011).
Hale thinks Corbett will pull it out, I have trouble seeing it. He trails by such a wide margin in every poll. That an unknown like Bob Guzzardi polls better is telling. Corbett is unpopular.
Allison Swartz, I laugh at. It’s a pity her seat is safe rat now. I’m sure NOW or planned parenthood will give her a job.