I use to trust Barone’s analysis until he predicted Romney would beat Obama in 2012. He’s still one of the best though. The GOP can still blow this easily.
I'm guessing, though, that he was looking at actual numbers rather than accounting for widespread voter fraud.
Republicans will do that again at their peril.
There were just too many like Barone who predicted Mitt. The trouble was the dem cheat was just too effective especially in Ohio and Floriduh, which was impossible to predict unless they had some insider dem info.
We have to face two realities. First is the dems have perfected the cheat enough to overcome say 5%. Second, the “stay at home, purists” and libertarians who got suckered by dem monied libertarians kept it a less than 5%.
I was not a Mitt supporter by any stretch, but even he would have been night and day better that what we face day in, day out now.