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Paul Ryan Is the Odds-On Favorite to Win the Republican Nomination in 2016
Mother Jones ^ | February 5, 2014 | Kevin Drum

Posted on 02/06/2014 6:42:40 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

There's been a lot of blathering about who the front-runner for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination is, and so far I've resisted taking part. But I guess I'm kind of curious: Is there much of a case to be made for anyone other than Paul Ryan?

On the substantive side, Ryan sure seems like he's setting himself up for a run. There's his steady series of "unheralded" anti-poverty outreach trips that always manage to be just heralded enough to get sympathetic press coverage. He brokered a budget deal with Patty Murray that was businesslike and low-drama but didn't alienate the tea party crowd too badly. Today, in a hearing about the CBO's report on Obamacare, he acknowledged that the report didn't say that employers would be cutting jobs—points for intellectual honesty!—while also calling Obamacare a "poverty trap"—points for demagoguery! This is all stuff that seems very delicately calculated to stay in the good graces of the tea party base while building up plenty of policy substance cred that will keep him attractive to moderate voters.

On the flip side, who are his big competitors? Chris Christie is toast. Marco Rubio is inexperienced to begin with, and then muffed his chance for statesmanlike glory when he staked his reputation on immigration reform and came up empty. Jeb Bush can't even get his mother's endorsement. Scott Walker is getting buzz, but he strikes me as having too much baggage. Rand Paul and Ted Cruz are novelty candidates, not to be taken seriously. And although I used to think Bobby Jindal might have a chance, he's had a rough past couple of years.

Maybe I'm dismissing all these guys a little too glibly. Walker and Bush are certainly serious possibilities. And I admit that Ryan doesn't always give off a vibe that says he's running for president. And of course, we're still a couple of years away from 2016, anything can happen, blah blah blah.

Still, ol' blue eyes sure looks like the favorite to me right now. Anyone want to make a case for one of the others?


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; chrischristie; paulryan; randpaul; rino; scottwalker; teaparty; tedcruz
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Remind me of the last time a current or former congressman, with no other office held, was elected president.
1 posted on 02/06/2014 6:42:41 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I could point out a senator with basically the same qualifications who pulled the rabbit out of the hat.


2 posted on 02/06/2014 6:44:51 PM PST by ealgeone (obama, border)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh good Lord no.


3 posted on 02/06/2014 6:44:52 PM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hold on! I thought it was Krispy? No, wait... Huckabee!!!!

Bull. Ryan is finished.


4 posted on 02/06/2014 6:44:53 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: ealgeone

JFK?


5 posted on 02/06/2014 6:46:41 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Is it his turn?


6 posted on 02/06/2014 6:47:04 PM PST by depressed in 06 (America conceived in liberty, dies in slavery.)
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To: depressed in 06

No , it’s not Ryan’s turn! He has to stand in line behind Mickey Mouse!

FGS! Squueek Squeek!

Vote RINO!


7 posted on 02/06/2014 6:50:40 PM PST by acapesket
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To: depressed in 06

Actually, in historic terms, it’s Vice President Cheney’s or Governor Palin’s turn, not Rep. Ryan’s.


8 posted on 02/06/2014 6:50:42 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I flushed Paul Ryan this morning.


9 posted on 02/06/2014 6:50:52 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

As a Wisconsinite on the Front Lines, I say, ‘No’ to Ryan.

Absolutely not. Nuh-huh. No.


10 posted on 02/06/2014 6:51:09 PM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Mother Jones?

You are a joker 2nd div.
Ha ha.

Always appreciate your willingness to go into such repulsive places
so we dont have to.


11 posted on 02/06/2014 6:51:22 PM PST by right way right (America has embraced the suck of Freedumb.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

i doubt this. i don’t believe it’s true. i believe some want it to be true.


12 posted on 02/06/2014 6:51:55 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Let’s just bring back Boris and Natasha.


13 posted on 02/06/2014 6:52:02 PM PST by stanne
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; All

Of course, the super liberal Ma Jones would push for an Amnesty Liberal like Paul Ryan


14 posted on 02/06/2014 6:52:19 PM PST by SeminoleCounty (Diversity is just racism against white folks)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Actually, in historic terms, it’s Vice President Cheney’s or Governor Palin’s turn, not Rep. Ryan’s.

Have to wait and see if Bob Dole wants another crack at it

15 posted on 02/06/2014 6:53:52 PM PST by Right Wing Assault
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

F-That.

Since when do we all liberal journalists and pundits pick our Nominees??..Not any more!


16 posted on 02/06/2014 6:54:22 PM PST by JSDude1 (Defeat Hagan, elect a Constutional Conservative: Dr. Greg Brannon!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Uh, no. No RINOs.


17 posted on 02/06/2014 6:54:25 PM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What? yesterday it was Huckabee...


18 posted on 02/06/2014 6:55:28 PM PST by uncitizen (Impeach the Communist Already!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Because he could not inspire a man on fire to jump into a pond.


19 posted on 02/06/2014 6:56:15 PM PST by Vermont Lt (If you want to keep your dignity, you can keep it. Period........ Just kidding, you can't keep it.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
BULLSHIT!!!
20 posted on 02/06/2014 6:56:24 PM PST by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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