Posted on 01/03/2014 11:41:44 AM PST by Brad from Tennessee
Unnoticed, the IPCC has slashed its global-warming predictions, implicitly rejecting the models on which it once so heavily and imprudently relied. In the second draft of the Fifth Assessment Report it had broadly agreed with the models that the world will warm by 0.4 to 1.0 Cº from 2016-2035 against 1986-2005. But in the final draft it quietly cut the 30-year projection to 0.3-0.7 Cº, saying the warming is more likely to be at the lower end of the range [equivalent to about 0.4 Cº over 30 years]. If that rate continued till 2100, global warming this century could be as little as 1.3 Cº.
Official projections of global warming have plummeted since Dr. James Hansen of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies told the U.S. Congress in June 1988 the world would warm by 1 Cº every 20 years till 2050 (Fig. 1), implying 6 Cº to 2100.
The second-order draft of IPCC had projected 0.13-0.33 Cº/decade to 2050. However, the final draft slashed this projection to 0.10-0.23 Cº/decade, the IPCCs best guess being closer to the lower than to the upper bound of the revised range.
The projected range in the second-order draft had been consistent with the models, but the revised range in the final draft was at the low end of models projections. Implicitly, the IPCC no longer accepts that models accurately project warming. . .
(Excerpt) Read more at wattsupwiththat.com ...
Heh, me, too. Now, they're claiming that they never said there wouldn't be snowstorms and cold records because of global warming. But, of course, that's exactly what they said.
Hysterical liberal fools are having to back down... Makes me happy, happy, happy...
Thanks for data and link.
Bookmark Global Warming slash prediction
Nice
The IPCC needs to start giving me credit for my predictions of 1 degree C warming by 2100 AD which I’ve been giving for the last 20 years.
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