Posted on 12/01/2013 7:19:28 AM PST by Libloather
The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season ended Saturday, and unless a new sponsor pops up with wads of cash so did Colorado State Universitys hurricane forecasting team. Fine with us. We wont miss either one.
The Colorado team, officially the Tropical Meteorology Project, has been issuing forecasts for the upcoming hurricane season each summer for 30 years. At the beginning of this years season, the team predicted 18 named storms. Nine of those, it said, would become hurricanes. Four would be major hurricanes.
Heres how it shook out: There were 13 named storms. Only two became hurricanes. Neither was a major hurricane.
(Excerpt) Read more at nwfdailynews.com ...
I officially predict that in 2014 there will be between 0 and 365 hurricanes.
Now where are those TV cameras?
Attitudes about destruction are irrelevant in this conversation.
We’re mad about politics masquerading as science.
I can make a meteorological prediction that is 100% accurate: Next year all parts of the world will experience some kind of weather.
“My guess is as good as theirs.”
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I honestly believe my guessing is better than theirs.
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Oh, come on, it’s ‘settled science’! :D
In the meantime, in the words of James T. Kirk, “I’m laughing at the ‘superior intellect’.”
Has anybody EVER made a hurricane forecast of “below normal”?
I think it’s important to note that Dr. Gray, the recently retired pioneer of the Colorado State long range hurricane forecasting program, is not a global warming alarmist. Quite the contrary, he has been saying for some years that we should expect global cooling. So for those who are celebrating the demise of the Colorado State program, if that is what is happening, it may not mean what we think it means politically, although I’m not certain what page Dr. Gray’s successors are on.
I’m not sure I even understand the point of these forecasts .
Predicting 8 hurricanes for the season, correctly or incorrectly, does nothing to help anyone prepare. If you live on those coastal areas, have what you WILL eventually need, and just keep it stored away until needed.
It is not like being able to predict that a moderate to severe mid-season hurricane will be very likely to make landfall between Jacksonville and Savannah. That would be very useful, if there was a good degree of accuracy. This doesn’t even come near that.
Everyone knows it’s hurricane season, and no matter how many are or aren’t predicted, the only one that matters is the one that hits YOU.
Dr. Gray didn’t give the forecast. They cut his funding years ago. You are right though. He didn’t believe enough and wouldn’t give NOAA and others the “science” they wanted so they kicked him to the curb.
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