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Why experts blew the 2013 hurricane forecasts
Orlando Sentinel ^ | November 25, 2013 | Ken Kaye

Posted on 11/25/2013 12:55:16 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

Edited on 11/25/2013 2:14:11 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]

Why did all the experts get the hurricane season outlook so wrong?

Twelve forecast teams predicted an average of 16 named storms, including eight hurricanes, four major. Yet this season, which ends Saturday, saw only 13 named storms, including two mediocre Category 1 hurricanes.


(Excerpt) Read more at orlandosentinel.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: alarmists; algoreisnotmygod; climatechange; doomsdaycult; globalwarmingscare; greenieweenies; hurricanes; hysteria; junkscience; playedonourfears; prophecy; pseudoscience; scientificconsensus; thegreenmenace; weather; weatherforecasting
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To: pfflier

hehe

It’s not just a winter storm, it’s “Winter Storm Boreas”. Much worse when it has a name!


61 posted on 11/25/2013 5:50:50 PM PST by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Weather forecasters - - one profession you can be wrong 100% of the time and still earn 100% of your salary.


62 posted on 11/25/2013 6:22:09 PM PST by Arrowhead1952 (The Second Amendment is NOT about the right to hunt. It IS a right to shoot tyrants.)
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To: Arrowhead1952

Here is a forecast cfrom the late great George Carlin. tonight’s Forecast, dark continueing till morning with scattered light. Yes, they are like most politicians do nothing but keep their pay checks and jobs.


63 posted on 11/25/2013 6:27:43 PM PST by Busko (The only thing that is certain is that nothing is certain.)
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To: ClearBlueSky

They will point out that a tiny corner of the remotest part of the listening area got a sprinkling of rain and, therefore, their prediction came to pass.

These people lie almost as good as politicians.


64 posted on 11/25/2013 11:30:36 PM PST by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: Fire_on_High
If you’re thinking about the same weatherman I am, he did call the storm of ‘93 correctly...

Stopped Clock. Blind Squirrel. ;-)

Don't get me wrong, he's fun to watch. And if he says it will be 37 degrees outside, and it's actually 39, I'm still going to wear a sweater either way. So, he's as accurate as he needs to be.

But weather forecasting ain't exactly a *precise* science.

65 posted on 11/26/2013 6:10:12 AM PST by wbill
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To: pfflier
"I never seen nothing like this in my life".

HA!!

I was listening to the radio on my way into work this morning. There was a 5 min piece on oyster fishing in the Gulf of Mexico.

Brief synopsis: Climate Change causes drought. Drought causes oyster fishing to be bad. Bad fishing = good, hard-working, honest, oyster fisherman losing their livelihood as a result of mean, evil Global Warming.

Sez me..... I'm sure that some of the good, hard-working oyster fisherman will find a way to stay in business. Others will find different vocations.

I'm equally sure that there were never, ever droughts before AlGore invented Global Warming. And additionally, I'm even more certain that fisherman never, ever had bad luck before Global Warming, either.

Sheesh. People have short memories.

66 posted on 11/26/2013 6:18:23 AM PST by wbill
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To: wbill
Sheesh. People have short memories

Throw in a lot of arrogance with that too. We did not collect reliable weather data until about WWI.

To say "this never happened before", "This is the worst on record...", "It is unprecidented..." etc is pretty much a stretch of any sort of realty and meant only for a dramatic effect.

67 posted on 11/26/2013 8:34:22 AM PST by pfflier
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To: pfflier
We did not collect reliable weather data until about WWI

Yep. And now we have *too much* data. How often have you heard "This is the COLDEST recorded low for November 26th in East Podunk, Arkansas!" or whatever bit of insignificant trivia on the TV?

Gives an impression of radicalized weather patterns, when the reality is that the weather is the same, what's changed is the way we monitor it.

Stepping down from my soapbox, now. :-)

68 posted on 11/26/2013 9:14:19 AM PST by wbill
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To: wbill

I share that soapbox and agree with you 100%. Sensationalism sells commercials and that is what TV is all about.


69 posted on 11/26/2013 9:57:06 AM PST by pfflier
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