November 6, 2012. I rest my case.
Ah, but you're leaving out one important part of the equation, and that's the pain that Obamacare is bringing home to most Americans.
Obama flat out lied to us and his constituents. Now we, and they, are finding out that you can't "keep your plan if you like it", and that the cost to maintain the type of coverage you had, is going through the roof.
At the risk of repeating myself, I'll say again...people who've been responsible enough to work for a living and pay for their health care privately, or through their employer, are not going to be happy with the level of care that the poor receive from Medicaid. Especially when millions upon millions more people are squeezed into the same government run system.
Memories may be short when it comes to flaps and scandals in government, but people aren't likely to soon forget the quality of health care they just recently enjoyed. They're going to object to the quality being reduced, while the price goes up. Someone's going to pay a political price for inflicting that pain, and it won't be the Republicans who wisely kept their fingerprints off the whole thing.