I don't know what you are basing your view on, but I can tell you based on what I have heard from several Congressional offices over the past few weeks along with attending meetings where folks like Lou Barletta and Steve King spoke that we are on a razor's edge when it comes to a comprehensive immigration bill.
I know that a majority of the GOP want an increase in the guest worker programs, increased border security, and a system to track and deport visa overstays. The issue of citizenship can be finessed in any bill. It could start with immediate legalization followed by various metrics for the border security. There could be language in a bill saying that there will be no path to citizenship until those metrics are met. And that same bill could have an increase in the guest worker programs similar to the one in the Gang of 8 bill. The majority of Reps would probably vote for it.
And the Dems will sign on to it knowing that they still have the issue to use against the Reps and allowing them to say that they have legalized the status of the lawbreakers, an important step that allows them to stay and work here.
Let me make it more clear. Two simple points.
1) Any immi bill wo path to citizenship would die in the Senate. So that is a safe poison pill. You said the Senate would pass anything, and I gave a clear example that they wont.,
2) Bohner will not put an immi bill up for a vote unless he has a majority of GOP. Not even after conference. He never made that same promise for those other 5 bills, but he did with immi-amnesty.
So those two together make it very difficult for Obama to get anything.
I am Not saying to not oppose a bill. Just telling you Obama has a huge climb with this one. Its not the shutdown battle.