To: PieterCasparzen
The ILLEGAL ALIEN IN CHIEF's
"BLOOD FOR GAS AND OIL WAR" has already started.
Read this
Intelligence Analysis Study:
The geopolitical dimension of Syria, Turkey Israel and the Greater Middle East Energy War
Posted on February 19, 2013
Intelligence Analysis Study
The significant question to be asked at this point iswhat could bind Israel, Turkey, Qatar in a form of unholy alliance on the one side,
and Assads Syria, Iran, Russia and China on the other side,
in such deadly confrontation over the political future of Syria?One answer is energy geopolitics.
What has yet to be fully appreciated in geopolitical assessments of the Middle Eastis the dramatically rising importance of the control of natural gas to the futureof not only Middle East gas producing countries,
but also of the EU and Eurasiaincluding Russia as producer and China as consumer.
Natural gas is rapidly becoming the clean energy of choice to replace coal and nuclear electric generation across the European Union,most especially since Germanys decision to phase out nuclear after the Fukushima disaster.
Gas is regarded as far more environmentally friendly in terms of its so-called carbon footprint.
The only realistic way EU governments, from Germany to France to Italy to Spain, will be able to meet EU mandated CO2 reduction targets by 2020is a major shift to burning gas instead of coal.
Gas reduces CO2 emissions by 50-60% over coal.
Given that the economic cost of using gas instead of wind or other alternative energy forms is dramatically lower,
gas is rapidly becoming the energy of demand for the EU, the biggest emerging gas market in the world.
Huge gas resource discoveries in Israel, in Qatar and in Syria combined with the emergence of the EU as the worlds potentially largest natural gas consumer,
combine to create the seeds of the present geopolitical clash over the Assad regime.
Syria-Iran-Iraq Gas pipeline
In July 2011, as the NATO and Gulf states destabilization operations against Assad in Syria were in full swing,
the governments of Syria, Iran and Iraq signed an historic gas pipeline energy agreementwhich went largely unnoticed amid CNN reports of the Syrian unrest.
The pipeline, envisioned to cost $10 billion and take three years to complete, would run from the Iranian Port Assalouyeh near the South Pars gas field in the Persian Gulf, to Damascus in Syria via Iraq territory.
Iran ultimately plans then to extend the pipeline from Damascus to Lebanons Mediterranean port where it would be delivered to EU markets.
Syria would buy Iranian gas along with a current Iraqi agreement to buy Iranian gas from Irans part of South Pars field.
South Pars, whose gas reserves lie in a huge field that is divided between Qatar and Iran in the Gulf,
is believed to be the worlds largest single gas field.
De facto it would be a Shiite gas pipeline from Shiite Iran via Shiite-majority Iraq onto Shiite-friendly Alawite Al-Assads Syria.
Adding to the geopolitical drama is the fact that the South Pars gas find lies smack in the middle of the territorial divide in the Persian Gulf between Shiite Iran and the Sunni Salafist Qatar.
Qatar also just happens to be a command hub for the Pentagons US Central Command, headquarters of United States Air Forces Central,No. 83 Expeditionary Air Group RAF, and the 379th Air Expeditionary Wing of the USAF.
In brief Qatar, in addition to owning and hosting the ANTI-Al-Assad TV station Al-Jazeera, which beams ANTI-Syria propaganda across the Arab world,
Qatar is tightly linked to the US and NATO military presence in the Gulf.
Qatar apparently has OTHER PLANS with their share of the South Pars field than joining up with Iran, Syria and Iraq to pool efforts.
Qatar has NO INTEREST in the success of the Iran-Iraq-Syria gas pipeline,which would be entirely independent of Qatar or Turkey transit routes to the opening EU markets.
In fact IT IS DOING EVERYTHING POSSIBLE TO SABOTAGE IT, UP TO AND INCLUDING ARMING SYRIA'S RAG-TAG OPPOSITION FIGHTERS,
MANY OF THEM JIHADISTS sent in from other countries INCLUDING SAUDI ARABIA, PAKISTAN AND LIBYA.
Further adding to QATAR'S DETERMINATION TO DESTROY THE SYRIA-IRAN-IRAQ GAS COOPERATION
is the discovery in August 2011 by Syrian exploration companies of a huge new gas field in Qara
near the border with Lebanon and NEAR TO THE RUSSIAN-LEASED NAVAL PORT OF TARTUS ON THE SYRIAN MEDITERRANEAN. Any export of Syrian or Iranian gas to the EU would go through the Russian-tied port of Tartus.
According to informed Algerian sources, the new Syrian gas discoveries, though the Damascus government is downplaying it, are believed to EQUAL OR EXCEED THOSE OF QATAR.
As Asia Times knowledgeable analyst Pepe Escobar pointed out in a recent piece,Qatars scheme calls for export of its huge gas reserves via Jordans Gulf of Aqaba,
a country where a Muslim Brotherhood THREAT TO THE DICTATORSHIP OF THE KING IS ALSO THREATENING.
The Emir of Qatar has apparently CUT A DEAL WITH THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOODin which he backs their international expansion
in return for a pact of peace at home in Qatar.
A Muslim Brotherhood regime in Jordan and also in Syria, backed by Qatar, would change the entire geopolitics of the world gas market
suddenly and decisively in Qatars favor
AND TO THE DISADVANTAGE OF RUSSIA, SYRIA, IRAN AND IRAQ.
That would also be A STAGGERING NEGATIVE BLOW TO CHINA.
As Escobar points out,its clear what Qatar is aiming at:TO KILL THE U.S. $10 billion Iran-Iraq-Syria gas pipeline,
a deal that was clinched even as the Syria uprising was already underway.
Here we see QATAR IN DIRECT COMPETITION WITH both Iran (as a producer) and Syria (as a destination),and to a lesser extent, Iraq (as a transit country).
Its useful to remember that TEHRAN AND BAGHDAD ARE ADAMENTLY ÅGAINST REGIME CHANGE IN DAMASCUS.He adds, if theres regime change in Syria helped by the Qatari-proposed invasion things get much easier in Pipelineistan terms.
A more than probable Muslim Brotherhood (MB) post-Assad regime would more than welcome a Qatari pipeline.
And that would make an extension to Turkey much easier.
WORLD WAR III is coming, quicker than you think.
It's going to go NUCLEAR real fast.
Read your Bible (especially about
"the remnant of Syria" and
"the king of the north", "the king of the south" ) !
5 posted on
09/02/2013 1:37:27 AM PDT by
Yosemitest
(It's Simple ! Fight, ... or Die !)
To: Yosemitest
That is perhaps the best analysis I have seen.
Therein lies the gist of the matter.
In my mind, where the word Qatar is used, substitute Gulf Cooperation Council to get the full picture.
The struggle is between the Gulf Arabs and Iran. Qatar has been designated to take the lead, to be the front man.
The issue is money vs religion
13 posted on
09/02/2013 6:38:34 AM PDT by
bert
((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Travon... Felony assault and battery hate crime)
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