Rasmussen Daily: TUE 11/06: R:49 O:48 Obama -8%: GO VOTE!!

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/06/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

[SoftwareEngineer]

Tuesday, November 06, 2012

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll of Election 2012 shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate. See daily tracking history.

Rasmussen Reports will continue tracking the president’s job approval rating and other topics, and new results will be updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

Both candidates are viewed favorably by 50% of voters nationwide.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Tim,

I agree with you. Very confusing to read these polls. I am cautiously optimistic

My original prediction was R:52 O:47

Also, thank you for the kind words

Cheers!

[MyDogAteMyBallot]

Rasmussen internals ping

[manc]

VA or FL you and I know your vote will be helping in a swing state

[InterceptPoint]

That is actually quite easy. For each point you take off the Democrats and give to the Republicans in turnout, you would just have to add 1 point to the Gov and reduce 1 for the President.

Well I knew that. ;)

But the Freepers needed to hear it from our resident "Engineer". I actually think this is the more likely correction to the Rasmussen poll. I agree with you that his results for R's voting for Obama are just off. But I think his number for D's voting for Romney are off as well. Probably a slight edge for Romney.

So going from 86/87 to say 95/95 is not going to make any difference. But a one point swing the Rasmussen's turnout model is big.

And don't forget: Rasmussen is almost always wrong about the D/R/I. Too high on the D and too low on the R. I'm counting on that being the case this year.

We are going to win!!!!!

[MyDogAteMyBallot]

Ping

[MyDogAteMyBallot]

“The Governor trails women by 12. UNBELIEVABLE”

This is embarrassing—I may have to consider a sex change operation

[TMA62]

One thing that Scott that is probably not including in his polls are “Value voters”. They include the Evangelicals and fiscal conservatives. They were not a factor in 2008 but came out in full force in 2010. They will be huge players in today’s outcome.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Intercept,

Ha! Ha! Thank you for the kind words.

I did not mean for my post to come off the way it did.

My point was that if anyone wants to do a back of the hand calculation as to what RAS number would be on any kind of turnout, just add a point for every point you move to the “R” column.

Many thanks for your great work. I am following you on Twitter too!

Cheers!

[unixfox]

I usually look at each individual race but this time...STRAIGHT TICKET.

Time to clean up the scum!

[SoftwareEngineer]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955659/posts#28

[InterceptPoint]

While you are away from your spreadsheet have a look here: OH Early Voting - Possible Romney lead

[little-e]

Thank you and ALL of the others who followed all the polls and gave us such insight to something that not all of us understand...you guys have kept me sane through all of this...thank you...

[ThinkingBuddha]

Being in the IT industry, I work with a large number of Indians here in Minnesota, most of them first time voters. According to the polls a vast majority of them are supposed to vote for Obama....talking to them I find that they are voting for Romney.

[Shadow44]

Thanks guys! I always read your threads and it keeps me calm (well, sort of) to look at real data.

If it wasn’t for you guys, I think my nerves would have been shot weeks ago.

[Daryl L.Hunter]

[Jane Long]

Voted straight ticket R here in SE Texas!!

Keep Texas Red!

[jwalsh07]

Gallups final had the indies even and the same final number 49-48. That is only because there poll shows an R+1 turnout. Ras has indies +14. These are not small samples of indies in rolling averages so statistically their numbers are outside the MOE. Weird polling this year. They all coalesced to a tie within MOE but all got there different ways.

[SoftwareEngineer]

I am always astounded by the fact that middle class or upper middle class Asians/Indians/Hispanics vote Democrat

Why?

All of the above are religiously conservative and fiscally conservative

Is the MSM somehow projecting to them that the Republicans are a white only party?

If so they should look at the Governors of LA and SC. Both of them are Panjabi-Americans

Talking about Panjabis, interesting side bar. Apparently Sikhs (who are Panjabis like Nikki Haley’s parents) vote Republican in great numbers.

What makes the Sikhs more likely to trust Republicans than Hindus from the same country?

[twigs]

FWIW, my husband is a dem and voted a straight Republican ticket.

[Tennessean4Bush]

So if we extrapolate that Romney might have one more day post Sandy like Sun and Mon, it looks like R+2. Fingers crossed.

No one has ever explained to me why Ras does a poll with a D+3 weight when his own party identification poll is R+3. Does he explain that to subscribers?