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Prediction: Romney 325, Obama 213
The Hill ^ | 11/05/12 08:21 PM ET | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/05/2012 7:10:38 PM PST by Red Steel

Yup. That’s right. A landslide for Romney approaching the magnitude of Obama’s against McCain. That’s my prediction.

On Sunday, we changed our clocks. On Tuesday, we’ll change our president.

Romney will win the states McCain carried in 2008, plus: Florida, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota.

In the popular vote, Romney will win by more than 5 points.

The Obama campaign made the following key mistakes:

• It bet the farm on negative ads in swing states. It didn’t realize that Mitt’s convention speech and the three debates would give him the chance to live down the charges and demonstrate — through facts and his demeanor — that they were baseless.

• Obama had no Plan B if the negatives didn’t work. He never really laid in a convincing defense of his record, except to recall the mess that he inherited and to try to make people believe things were better. He had no vision for his second term, except more of same. He never moved to the center — the shift that reelected Bill Clinton.

• Obama drew his list of swing states too narrowly. He did not contemplate that he would be forced to defend Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan or Minnesota and squandered his money contesting unwinnable states like North Carolina. When Romney bypassed Obama’s “firewall” states (like the Germans did the French Maginot Line in World War II), the president had not laid in the necessary prophylactic irradiation of negative ads, and three of the states embraced Romney.

• By focusing on the negative, Obama sacrificed first his personal popularity and then his dignity and presidentiality. No longer was he the hope and the change. He became nothing more than a nasty partisan, throwing epithets at his rival. A president does not let himself be quoted as saying that his opponent is a “bullsh--ter” or that voting is the best “revenge.” Even his dress was wrong. Instead of appearing in a dark suit, he dressed in an open-neck white shirt, trying to be everyman but succeeding only in not looking like a president.

• Since he offered nothing more than a negative campaign and a grab-bag of special-interest pleadings for single women, unions, college kids and minorities, Obama failed to inspire the turnout that he needed. Against Santorum and Gingrich, Obama could have made the case that their prospective presidencies were sufficiently dangerous that liberals and Democrats must rush to the polls to stop them. But against the congenial Romney, the warnings rang hollow.

• In the first debate, Obama was terrible. We’ll likely find out what his excuses are after the polls close. Did he have the flu? Was it the altitude? Had he, as Bob Woodward suggested, just received a dose of bad news? Why did he appear distracted?

• Obama should have gotten the facts out quickly about Benghazi rather than let them drip, drip, drip out over six weeks. He could then have handled the crisis and won points for determination and toughness. Instead, to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.

• After Sandy, Obama visited New Jersey and surveyed the damage with Gov. Chris Christie (R). He should have stayed on the storm, superintending relief efforts, urging FEMA on, absorbing the lessons of Bush’s failure to cope well with Katrina. Instead, he returned to the partisan wars and the strident speeches in swing states.

None of this should take away from Romney’s brilliant campaign. By staying on the economy and not being tempted into side issues like Libya, Mitt kept the focus where it needed to be and never let up. His campaign’s foray into Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Wisconsin was vital to his chances of victory. More about what Mitt did right in my post-election column on Thursday. But for now, let’s celebrate the new president we are about to elect.


TOPICS: Editorial; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; dickmorris
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Morris also said on Hannity that Obama has received 10 million less votes for early voting than he got in 2008.
1 posted on 11/05/2012 7:10:38 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Tomorrow we get to take out the trash.


2 posted on 11/05/2012 7:15:08 PM PST by Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)
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Hopefully enough racists in the swing states can be cobbled together to put Romney in the White House./s


3 posted on 11/05/2012 7:15:46 PM PST by RBStealth
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: Farmer Dean
Tomorrow we get to take out the trash.

Tomorrow we don't just get to flush the turd down the toilet, but we also get our septic tank's SCUM pumped and removed.

5 posted on 11/05/2012 7:19:40 PM PST by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: Red Steel

Zero’s going to get Romnitized on Tuesday.. BLOWOUT! :)


6 posted on 11/05/2012 7:19:54 PM PST by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: Red Steel
to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.

Bears repeating.

7 posted on 11/05/2012 7:21:33 PM PST by aposiopetic
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To: RBStealth

Don’t forget the bigots, sexists, and homophobes!


8 posted on 11/05/2012 7:21:33 PM PST by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
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To: Red Steel

His total was 69k. how many will he lose on those voting on election day.


9 posted on 11/05/2012 7:21:57 PM PST by Donnafrflorida (Thru HIM all things are possible.)
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To: Red Steel

Obama gambled and lost. He got his base voters to vote early hoping that + the ridiculously oversampled polls would make him look inevitable, and he’d ride it to a win. Wrong. Get out of our house Obama!


10 posted on 11/05/2012 7:23:27 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Red Steel

so I take it Morris has resumed his Romney landslide bit after scaring us with the Sandy “helps” obammey act....


11 posted on 11/05/2012 7:24:09 PM PST by cherry
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To: Red Steel
But for now, let’s celebrate the new president we are about to elect.

Amen!

12 posted on 11/05/2012 7:24:24 PM PST by Kitty Mittens (To God Be All Excellent Praise!)
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To: Red Steel

Remember: Dick Morris makes millions of dollars a year helping candidates and parties win world-wide. There’s a reason both Trent Lott and Bill Clinton hired him. If he, Michael Barone and Karl Rove say it’s gonna rain, buy a boat.


13 posted on 11/05/2012 7:27:01 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: Kitty Mittens

Loving the optimism I’m seeing on FR tonight!


14 posted on 11/05/2012 7:27:35 PM PST by Crooked Constituent
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To: Crooked Constituent

The traitors in the MSM should be put on trial after the election.


15 posted on 11/05/2012 7:31:47 PM PST by Signalman
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To: Red Steel

The biggest and most important election in American history and Barry “Joe Cool” Obama is going to play basketball. The boy just don’t shive a git, does he? That’s been his problem for the past four years.


16 posted on 11/05/2012 7:37:50 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Stop the freeloader REVENGE against America! Vote on November 6th!)
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To: Red Steel

Well, great. So I’m gonna hold my nose, again, and vote for the double talking liberal. And I’m not talking about Obama. And all you so called conservatives better be there beside me holding him accountable. If Romney does win then he better not be cut any slack here. Even less slack than Obama. Cause you have all drank the Romney Kool-aid.

Me? Once again I have compromised my principles. Screw it. It ain’t the first time for me.

How about YOU?


17 posted on 11/05/2012 7:38:04 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: Crooked Constituent
Too much optimism, someone better put a stop to it.


18 posted on 11/05/2012 7:39:11 PM PST by HerrBlucher (Praise to the Lord the Almighty the King of Creation)
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To: Signalman
Caught a glimpse of MSNBC while channel surfing. Who is the skanky looking brunette on O'Donnell's show? Her top lip curls up like she just smelled a fart (or fish).

They were godafying Silver's polling analysis while making fun of Limbaugh. Useless idiots

19 posted on 11/05/2012 7:40:42 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Hope and Change has become Attack and Obfuscate.)
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To: Red Steel

I really hope so. Voting tomorrow in North Carolina, my wife and I are doing our part to to bring change to the white house.


20 posted on 11/05/2012 7:40:53 PM PST by VelcroRaptor
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