Posted on 11/04/2012 1:13:19 PM PST by Red Steel
Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters.
The survey finds that Obama maintains his modest lead when the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account. Our final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates based on several indicators and opinion
(Excerpt) Read more at people-press.org ...
Romney +10 with Indies which is encouraging.
Only getting 55% of the white vote though which isn’t nearly enough. That would need to be 60% for us to win Tuesday.
Perhaps some Bradley Effect at work there?
You seriously believe anything from
The ABC - Wash Compost .
Two
Far left Obamz front groups who have been carrying this radicals water for 4 years !
Wow
One again, long on emotive hysterics, vacant of even the slightest hint of a rational thought.
Face it, you are the epitome of what you claim to be against.
I can just barely access FR and won’t try again so can’t reply to any other replies.
The source is the Pew .pdf. I think it was pasted here in the thread, but if not the .pdf is accessible.
I can just barely access FR and won’t try again so can’t reply to any other replies.
The source is the Pew .pdf. I think it was pasted here in the thread, but if not the .pdf is accessible.
Face it, you are the epitome of what you claim to be against.
You're real low rent Johnnie. Always insulting and belittling anyone who disagrees with you - yet rarely adding anything much of value to the conservations.
Much as it pains me to say because I dread an Obama second term, I suspect you are going to owe me a big apology on Wednesday.
You lose, again.
Though you are clearly not very intelligent, I don’t regard that as an excuse. I’ll read your apology Wednesday morning.
Everyone else on this thread: Rational fact based posts using real math to reach a reasonable conclusion
Longbow posts. Emotion based ranting and childish invective directed at everyone else for challenging their emotional opinions.
Reason trumps emotion. You lose.
Everyone else on this thread: Rational fact based posts using real math to reach a reasonable conclusion
Longbow posts. Emotion based ranting and childish invective directed at everyone else for challenging their emotional opinions.
Reason trumps emotion. You lose.
I don’t think he’s very good at the maths.
We will know Wednesday. I will stick with my prediction based on what I am seeing: Hussein 51 - Romney 49. Some shade of that with Obama just edging out Mitt.
The reality is Rassmussen and PEW tied for accuracy in 2008. Yet you want to totally ignore the Rassmussen poll to loudly hype the supposed infallibility of the Pew poll. The fact that your opinions of PEW are based on a complete absence of ANY fact based evidence while the contrary opinions about PEW ARE BASED ON REAL MATH goes right over your head. They cannot both be right. One or the other is correct. The fact that you ignore the facts presented to cling to the emotional opinion is intellectually vacuous.
No reason to skew polls in 2008 in order to prop up one candidate or another. Obama was a lock.
Obama and Romney are both playing on mostly BLUE state turf. Romney is running the sort of campaign winning camps run, optimistic, hopeful, bland. Obama is running the sort of campaign losers run, nasty, desperate and shrill.
Obama is running around joined at the hip with Bill Clinton trying desperately to fire up the traditional Democrat blue collar vote. Obama is doing nothing to reach towards the middle. Romney is out there acting Presidential and reaching out to moderate and “leans Democrat” voters.
Obama is not acting like a candidate whose internal polling is showing him winning.
Obama’s has been attacking the Tea Party for two days. Trying to fire up his base instead of reaching out to independents. Tells me he knows he’s in trouble.
These libs pollsters reek so bad as this is what they really believe:
"Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.4%, Bayesian Prediction 99.9%"
-snip-
"...Anyway, the short answer: I estimate Romney’s chance of winning the popular vote at 6%, odds of 16-1 against. ...."
http://election.princeton.edu/
LoL!
So how are they figuring out the proportions of each party that they think will vote?
This is what I mean. Don’t trust the polls. Look around at what you see. What does your gut tell you?
Got me...wishing to Karl Marx.
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