Rasmussen Daily: THU 11/01: R:49 O:47 Obama -11: 5 DAYS TO GO!

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/01/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

[SoftwareEngineer]

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

NOTE: Rasmussen Reports is based in Asbury Park, New Jersey and we were hit hard by Hurricane Sandy. However, our survey interview calls are placed from a different location, so data gathering was able to continue. Today, we will release only a limited amount of data. The Rasmussen Challenge is also on hold until next week due to the weather.

New surveying for Monday night finds Romney ahead of the president 50% to 47% in the key swing state of Colorado. That marks little change from a week ago, and the state remains a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

In Wisconsin, surveying from Monday night finds the race remains tied at 49%, just like last week. Wisconsin, too, is still a Toss-Up and is critical to Romney’s fortunes if he loses Ohio.

[Rockitz]

I can tell you that my Asian-born wife is put off by Romney’s China stance and has indicated she will either vote for Obama or neither candidate. Fortunately I believe most Asians live in solid-blue states where it may not matter or do not vote at all based on cultural norms since they typically come from totalitarian states.

[snarkytart]

Many here will disagree but winning by a couple of points and just enough EV is fine with me. NO I do not want a repeat of 2000 but to turn out a sitting President is a mandate in itself. Landslide in this current demographic is impossible. Don’t forget Cali used to be a state that could go either way. I don’t see it going RED ever again in my life time.

Squeaker is fine as long as zerO is gone.

[Lacey2]

From your lips to God’s ear.

[KansasGirl]

[ Romney’s final sked: THU — VA; FRI — WI, OH; SAT — IA, NH, CO; SUN: —TDB; MON –NH

Obama’s final sked: THU — WI, NV, CO; FRI — OH; SAT — OH, WI, IA, VA; SUN — NH, FL, OH, CO; MON — WI, OH, IA ]

Obama seems awfully worried about Ohio for someone who has it in the bag.

Anyway, both Romney and Obama are spending time in the deciding swing states: OH, WI, CO, NH. Romney must be confident FL is red. He is also only visiting OH once. Hmmmm. Sure doesn't jive with the media's narrative on OH.

Obama campaigning appears more desperate than winning. He is gallivanting all over the place!
Sorry NJ, Obama just used you as a campaign stop and moved on. Your Governor was dumb enough to play along.

[ConservativeDude]

yep

[paul544]

Or maybe he’s got the inside track on the upcoming jobs number that shows a big improvement?

[Old Retired Army Guy]

The one reliable Poll (Rasmussen) has been crippled by Sandy. What they have been reporting is pretty much the same stuff for the last 3 days.

[KansasGirl]

More cooked numbers? Unemployment rates at the level Obama has maintained for 4 years is unacceptable. PERIOD! I don't care what phony, lowered expectations numbers he releases tomorrow. Anything above 6% is totally unacceptable!

[MuttTheHoople]

I think it’ll be a minimum 8 point Romney win, with an EV landslide.

[The Fop]

49% to 47% means 4% unaccounted for. Don’t Ras’s final polls always add up to at least 99% of the vote? Seems like someone would have to gain a few points by Tuesday morning. Has he ever put a final poll with this many voters unaccounted for?

[varmintman]

The Carville rule says that last number which Bork Obunga gets is all he’s ever going to get, i.e. the 47% which Romney himself said no Republican had any shot at. That basically says that we’ve got something like 47% of the electorate which isn’t really doing the gene pool any good.

[LittleSpotBlog]

Yeah, I find that number to be disturbing.

[Cheerio]

Rasmussen Daily: THU 11/01: R:49 O:47 Obama -11: 5 DAYS TO GO!

Would this be the same Rasmussen that puts out a daily Pres Approval rating that looks like this?

10/31/2012 -11
10/31/2012 -11
10/30/2012 -13
10/29/2012 -12
10/28/2012 -12
10/27/2012 -10
10/26/2012 -12
10/25/2012 -12
10/24/2012 -12
10/23/2012 -16
10/22/2012 -16
10/21/2012 -16
10/20/2012 -16

I for one, am not counting my chickens before they hatch - after all the RAT party is known for their top notch abilities in "getting out the illegal" voters, and stealing elections AFTER the voting booths have closed.

[paul544]

What’s interesting about your chart is that as Obama’s approval looks better, so does his national polling. The question is why do voters feel better about him in the last 2 weeks? Some of it is Sandy but not all.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Cheerio,

The Strong Approve number ALWAYS goes up in the run-up to the election.

Keep in mind that is just the Democrats lining up behind the President

They are just cannibalizing the “Somewhat Approve” number.

Look at the “Overall approval”. Still below 50. Actually very stable in the 47-49% range

[nathanbedford]

What do you make of Rasmussen's statement on Fox last night that he has Democrats +2?

He has Wisconsin, for example, tied at 49. Do I assume that he is applying his 2%, which I presume to be a national number, equally in each state? Is there any reason to believe that that is a valid procedure? I note that he has Republicans +3 on congressional preference and it seems anomalous to me that the overall preference would be +2 Democrat. Finally, what does this measure, merely a preference expressed in general terms by the electorate or is Rasmussen predicting turnout?

Am I wasting time concerning myself about these preference numbers when, as you point out, the approval numbers are far more predictive?

[erod]

I wasn't around in 1980, but from my reading of history this election feels eerily familiar to something that happened in that time period. A very unpopular incumbent who had a big edge in early polling and was destined to win, then that lead got to be "too close to call" then on election day it was a landslide. Hmmmmm..... I forgot who those two candidates were:

Romney in a landslide, the MSM wants to spin reality, but it's not going to affect the outcome on Tuesday

[justice14]

Hope you are right. Too much at stake.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Here is a quote from Rasmussen about the President’s job approval number:

“Since the beginning of 2012, that finding has remained in the narrow range of 47% to 49%”