[Utmost Certainty]

3 different prediction markets are running similar odds:

Candidate	PredictWise	Betfair	Intrade	IEM
Barack Obama	70.2 %	72.5 %	67.9 %	65.3 %
Mitt Romney	29.9 %	27.6 %	32.1 %	35.2 %

[DoughtyOne]

Almost makes you wonder if we’re kidding ourselves. I still don’t see how we’re that far off. I think these places are imploding.

There’s just no way Obama comes in at even 52% IMO.

[Palmetto Patriot]

3 different prediction markets are running similar odds...

Cognitive bias?

Intrade:

The US Supreme Court to rule individual mandate unconstitutional before midnight ET 31 Dec 2013