[dontreadthis]

question: on what basis do they know the results of early voting? is it an assumption based upon party affiliation? i’ll take that.

[LS]

Yes, the ONLY thing we can actually count are registrations/requested ballots, but then the pollsters do "exit polls" (remember how reliable those were in 04?)

So we've only been analyzing the R/D differential, and assuming Is break 50/50 (not at all likely).