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To: NELSON111
Hey Bud, Chill... I "marked" (actually I used the word "mark") your post so I could come back to it to see how accurate you were going to be in your predictions. As in "bookmark".

Looks like the weather service/you missed the 11' Battery Park surge level by about 3' since it topped out at 14'.

Guess you were wrong? We're all human! :)

545 posted on 10/29/2012 8:33:41 PM PDT by Errant
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To: Errant
I know you used the word "mark"...as in bookmark...but it didn't make grammatical sense to say that.

Yep...surge is tricky. My forecast was for 11' of water...+/-1'. Ended up 2' higher than my window....and what I said in post 170 was this:

"Winds TS...with gusts to hurricane force on the SW side.
"Surge to 11-12' max if it comes in on high tide.
"Massive power outages due to size of wind field and leaves on the trees making it easier to bring them down.
"Will hit with a WNW heading and a pressure around 945-950.
"Will cause 15-20 billion in damage."

Damage estimate was too low. This will be much more. I also said this:

"This storm is coming ashore somewhere along Jersey...possibly as far south as N DE coast...and as far north as NYC...but probably near ACY. This creates the worst possible funneling affect down Long Island Sound."

So...won't hang my head in shame on this forecast...

578 posted on 10/29/2012 8:53:20 PM PDT by NELSON111
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To: Errant; NELSON111
Guess you were wrong? We're all human! :)

NELSON111 has done an awesome job and we all know it. Thank you NELSON.

Errant, did you see the post that said yesterday, this is just going to be a little wind and rain storm? He also said that he would be safer in a lawn chair on the Atlantic City Boardwalk than he would driving on the highway! LMAO, well, not really. This is horrible. Many prayers have gone up this day.

Nevertheless, I just had to send a note back with pictures of the boardwalk floating in the flooded downtown streets.

p.s. Thanks again NELSON111 for your educated posts giving us insite into this horrible disaster.

692 posted on 10/29/2012 11:12:07 PM PDT by houeto (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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