iirc this is the first i’ve seen RR at 50% in the swing state poll.
Remember how state polls lag national polls... he’s been at 50 for a while in nat’l polls but now 50 in swing state poll.
that is indeed large.
‘course we’ve seen a few polls here lately. I COULD be mixed up...
Good point...
If this a swing state as opposed to a national poll, it validates a point I made in the past few weeks: state polls take time to catch up with the national average.
And now they reflect it. That leads me to conclude Romney will take almost all the swing states. With O posting the kind of number he does, its hard to see how he can assemble the 270 electoral votes needed to secure a second term.
This again is a rebuke to Silver’s thesis that the state polls somehow give Obama an added advantage not reflected in the national polls. Now we can see with our eyes that isn’t true.