Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (Oct 29)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_swing_state_tracking_poll ^

[Massimo75]

"In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided."

50-46. same as yesterday, and 50-48 in Ohio. So don't panic over the 49-47 national tracking.

[goldstategop]

O still sitting in the basement with 46%. I don’t see those numbers changing in the seven days that are left.

Romney’s lead remains stable for a 12th day that he is at 50%.

[Principled]

large

[Trapped Behind Enemy Lines]

Yee ha! Keep feeding me these polls. I thrive on them now!

[Principled]

iirc this is the first i’ve seen RR at 50% in the swing state poll.

Remember how state polls lag national polls... he’s been at 50 for a while in nat’l polls but now 50 in swing state poll.

that is indeed large.

‘course we’ve seen a few polls here lately. I COULD be mixed up...

[LS]

Just posted some EV numbers from Montgomery County. Still a win, but could be better. I want double digits!

[LS]

Just posted some EV numbers from Montgomery County. Still a win, but could be better. I want double digits!

[UnwashedPeasant]

The National poll numbers are trading in tight, stable channels. The Romney channel is 49 to 50%, and the Obamao channel is 46 to 47%. This is a 2-point improvement to the spread from 5 days ago.

[goldstategop]

Good point...

If this a swing state as opposed to a national poll, it validates a point I made in the past few weeks: state polls take time to catch up with the national average.

And now they reflect it. That leads me to conclude Romney will take almost all the swing states. With O posting the kind of number he does, its hard to see how he can assemble the 270 electoral votes needed to secure a second term.

This again is a rebuke to Silver’s thesis that the state polls somehow give Obama an added advantage not reflected in the national polls. Now we can see with our eyes that isn’t true.

[comebacknewt]

Where did you post them?

Would you mind recapping them?

[LS]

Thred “Nate Silver is Partisan and Wrong”