Rasmussen Daily: MON: 10/29: R: 49 O:47 Obama -12%

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/29/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

[SoftwareEngineer]

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...

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[SoftwareEngineer]

Tightening of the Race

R:49 O:47

4 ahead with Independents, 8 behind with women

Total approve: 49 Approval Index : -12

Right Track/Wrong Track: 38/57

HOWEVER, Rasmussen will release a poll today showing the Governor AHEAD in Ohio: 50:48! This is the first major national poll to show the Governor at the 50% mark and ahead in Ohio

NOTE: Many of the details above are internals and not available at the public link above

[Perdogg]

per NumbersMuncher

Rasmussen poll in Ohio has Romney up 2, 50-48. Last week was tied at 48. R up 3 among certain to vote. Has O up 26 among early voters (32%).

[Credo]

Weekend polling.

Zero can't get above 47%

[BlueStateRightist]

Mixed news. Tightening nationally, ahead in OH.

Unless this is the “weekend effect”, Benghazi has had no effect on the national polls. The corrupt MSM has done its job well.

[snarkytart]

Weekend. Happens the majority of the time, I still don’t like it though. I need to see Romney at 50%. Come on Ras, people changing their minds THIS late? pfffffffffff

[ScottinVA]

Benghazi has had no effect on the national polls. The corrupt MSM has done its job well.

Most Americans have no idea what a "Benghazi" is, much less know why it's important.

[txrangerette]

4 ahead with independents?

UH, no.way.

Romney is killing with independents.

[snarkytart]

Boy Rasmussen’s independent number for Romney sure makes big fluctuations.

[snarkytart]

the story just hit the hot point the last four days. These rolling day polls take a few days to pick up on any movement.

[BlueStateRightist]

Agreed. It’s an issue for people who care about the country. Most Americans haven’t a concept of what worsens and improves our lot as a country, especially when it comes to international affairs. They simply care about their next paycheck.

[DarthVader]

I bet it does because of where he samples from across the country. In certain places there are more indy’s who lean Dem and other GOP. I bet this sample reflects this.

[SomeCallMeTim]

Agreed.. the Indy number sure does seem volatile.

I think, at this point.... it’s clear that Romney did not help himself by giving Obama a free pass on Benghazi. He missed a chance to move that story UP, even higher in public interest.

Not pushing it, IMO, made Romney look a little weak, and hurt his numbers a little.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Here is Scott’s commentary

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[nhwingut]

I don’t like these internals at all. Also, the sample 39/36/25 is not adding up either. I want to see where the numbers are at mid week.

Romney’s only up 4 with Indies (was up 23 on Saturday). And only has 88% of base?

Historically (even McCain), R candidates get 93% of Republican base. And in this election, it should be even higher.

Also, if you look at crosstabs, Romney’s numbers add up to 50 and Obama’s add up to 48.

Romney: Certain (46) Likely (2) Lean (2) (50)
Obama: Certain (44) Likely (2) Lean (2) (48)

Yet Rasmussen published the top line as 49-47.

What we can assume is that Benghazi has had ZERO impact, unbelievably.

[wiley]

Hi, I’ve signed up for Rasmussen Platinum. Where on his site do I go to get the information about the new Ohio poll?

Thanks,

Wiley

[chad_in_georgia]

This is going to be the longest week of my life. Independents tightening? What happened over the weekend for that to happen?

[CatOwner]

If undecideds break 50/50, Romney wins 50.5-48.5 (1% other) nationally and in OH. I can live with that. Would prefer Romney at least at 52%.

[sunmars]

the usual dem voters at home. Its not unusual for weekend polling and also random polling sometimes hits way more dems than GOP at weekends.

[Perdogg]

Most stunning #s in Ras OH are from the issues: R +12 on economy, +8 jobs, +10 nat'l security, 8 energy. Inflated early voter #s saving O.— NumbersMuncher (@NumbersMuncher) October 29, 2012

[BlueStateRightist]

I believe Romney rightly stayed out of the Benghazi fray. We care about it, but the average person doesn’t. They care about their paycheck and when is it Friday. He’s staying on message: jobs, economy, and the debt. Unfortunately, big issues like Benghazi are either too complex or too foreign to the average voter’s (especially, the idiotic “undecided” voter’s) own lot in life.