In reality, Romney is ahead.
So much for Nate Silver’s plugging in those numbers that postulated the state polls are the ones that really count, we should just dismiss national polls as outliers.
State polls are always lagging indicators and they’re aligning slowly but surely with the national trend.
Silver’s 75% Obama win projection now looks laughable!
Poll Ping.
Woo! Romney at 49 in Ohio! :)
‘The party breakdown of the randomly selected respondents: 47 percent Democrats, 44 percent Republicans, 10 percent independents. The data were weighted to correct for potential sampling bias on gender and region of residence for respondents.’
The trend is looking good. Obama is trending down while Romney is trending up. In 10 days Romney will be ahead is this poll.
These statewide polls with their statistical models and methodology are not reflecting the huge shift toward Romney in Ohio coal company. There is a turn around from 2008 of more than 50,000 votes. This is very significant is a state that may be decided by two or three thousand votes overall.
These statewide polls with their statistical models and methodology are not reflecting the huge shift toward Romney in Ohio coal company. There is a turn around from 2008 of more than 50,000 votes. This is very significant is a state that may be decided by two or three thousand votes overall.
Don’t tell Nate Silver, his dream world will come crashing down, thus for all liberals.
By the end of the week Obama will be at about 10%. The Libya thing is going balistic.
I wouldn’t be at all surprised if the talking head shows tomorrow morning show a whole new vent on this.
It’s over. They know it. Now it’s CYA or else.
Make no mistake Soros has his tentacles in all the battleground states to manipulate the voting. He needs to be jailed
Was Somalia County polled?
Coal and Oil voters/workers will not go 0bummer this time...they see their jobs getting destroyed.
We are the crawl over broken glass voters this time.
Romney is up by 5% in Ohio; that is Holder-proof.
Take it to the bank.
Gut feel.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhTof708DeHWdFJFUm1KSTAzMFZaeGJoal9Ob1EwV0E#gid=0
The numbers do not appear to change much before Election Day. While the total # of voters may shift, the winner in OH will probably win by 2/10-3/10 of a percentage point. Right now I have Romney at 50.11% to 49.89% for Obama among 5.5 million votes cast.