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Obama 46.6% | Romney 44.5% (D+7)
http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx ^ | 10/27/12

Posted on 10/27/2012 10:41:06 AM PDT by MeanGreen2008

Obama continues to hold a 2- point lead in our recent polls, showing that Romney still has ground to make up among key demographic groups.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; sourcetitlenoturl
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Comment #21 Removed by Moderator

To: Steelfish

Gallup came out yesterday and said the party id this year will be R+1. So any national poll with a D+7 sample is not even close to credible.

Furthermore, the TIPP polling firm is sampling about 130 people per day in the rolling average. If you know anything about polling, that is a joke for a national pol - and should be a MOE of about 6%.


22 posted on 10/27/2012 11:04:55 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: nhwingut

Agree.


23 posted on 10/27/2012 11:07:20 AM PDT by Steelfish (ui)
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To: gswilder

Ive been dropping into the DUmp lately and their delusion is boundless gonna have to hide the sharp objects over there come nov 6th


24 posted on 10/27/2012 11:08:51 AM PDT by jneesy (rough seas make skillful sailors)
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To: MeanGreen2008

Yep, Romney has a s—tload of ground to make up among Democrats. The world wonders....does he have time???


25 posted on 10/27/2012 11:09:54 AM PDT by Eric Pode of Croydon
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To: MeanGreen2008

Yep, Romney has a s—tload of ground to make up among Democrats. The world wonders....does he have time???


26 posted on 10/27/2012 11:10:04 AM PDT by Eric Pode of Croydon
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To: MeanGreen2008

In addition to other issues, their sample is skewed towards those who voted for Obama in 2008. If you put the actual final totals, then you find that the numbers are 0 - 45.7; R - 46.7

I am sure there are other issues as well - particularly in the breakdown between minorities and white sample.


27 posted on 10/27/2012 11:20:34 AM PDT by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: nhwingut
That is a sure loser. Especially for an incumbent.

It doesn't mean that Romney should start coasting (nor am I suggesting that he is), but yeah, if I was Barry I'd be reaching for the antacids about now.

28 posted on 10/27/2012 11:33:31 AM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: Slings and Arrows

If they applied undecideds evenly between Obama and Romney and then used the weighting in the following elections you get:

Now* - Obama: 46.70%, Romney: 51.17% (R +4.47%)
2010 - Obama: 46.71%, Romney: 50.51% (R +3.80%)
2008 - Obama: 49.53%, Romney: 47.62% (O +1.89%)
2004 - Obama: 46.54%, Romney: 50.54% (R +4.00%)

If you give Romney 60% of the undecideds (very possible IMO), the numbers become:

Now* - Obama: 45.99%, Romney: 50.89% (R +4.90%)
2010 - Obama: 46.00%, Romney: 51.23% (R +5.23%)
2008 - Obama: 48.82%, Romney: 48.34% (O +0.48%)
2004 - Obama: 45.83%, Romney: 51.26% (R +5.53%)

* This is based upon an extrapolated average of the consolidated RCP congressional preference or 34% DEM, 33% GOP, 33% IND.


29 posted on 10/27/2012 1:08:04 PM PDT by lowteksh
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To: lowteksh

Bad day for Barry.


30 posted on 10/27/2012 3:53:27 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: nhwingut
That is a sure loser. Especially for an incumbent.

Yeah. A week [give or take] before the election, an incumbent who can't break 50 is probably toast. I'm not getting cocky, though.

31 posted on 10/27/2012 3:53:40 PM PDT by BfloGuy (Teach a man to fish and you lose a Democratic voter.)
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