Posted on 10/26/2012 6:16:32 PM PDT by Arthurio
On Wednesday October 24th and Thursday October 25, 2012, The Hoffman
Research Group surveyed a cross section of Oregon voters to ascertain voter preferences in the 2012 Presidential election.
The resulting data found President Barack Obama currently leading Governor Mitt Romney by a 47% to 42% margin.
When pushed, undecided voters broke toward Mitt Romney almost 2 to 1.
The random sample of 615 Oregon voters surveyed 42% Democrats, 34%
Republicans and 24% Unaffiliated voters. The statistical margin of error for this survey is plus or minus 3.9%. Attention was given to Oregon’s rural or urban divide and maintained appropriate balances with regard to party, gender and age within seven geographic regions.
The Hoffman Research Group, a division of Gateway Communications Inc. has been measuring the views and opinions of Oregonians since 1984.
Of those who have voted: 47% Republican Mitt Romney 47% Democrat Barack Obama 6% Neither Candidate / Refused
(Excerpt) Read more at media.oregonlive.com ...
Dagone it. Thanks to you and your link, I just wasted an hour of my life randomly surfing the web and reading about hipsterism. I feel so empty inside. :-)
But, seriously, that was a pretty funny video about Portland.
OR is the state where they only have mail in voting? That 2-1 Romney undecided vote would not be included in those who already voted.
If we could have our way then, we could use a property qualification for voting. Like you must own at least an acre or two of land to vote. Not easy to get that reform passed, though. But keep it in mind.
I am from Bend, Oregon. I really expected more of a spread from my bastion of liberalism. I however, am slightly to the right of Genghis Khan and the son of a small lumber mill owner with an uncle who had 6000 acre cattle ranch. That should size up my leanings. Typically Oregon has gone blue do to the liberal demographics of the Portland metro / Multnomah county and Eugene area. Bend is the largest city east of the Cascades and has become increasingly “blue” due to trust fund baby infiltration. The rest of Oregon counties have traditionally been mostly red.
Per Adrian Gray, witty a quarter million votes cast Rs up .01%-—were down over 7 in 08. Throw in a) ANY indies and/or advantage of D crossover v R crossover and at 5m total votes this, to me, looks like at least a 2% win AFTER subtracting D advantage in absentees. Anyone else got different math?
Per Adrian Gray, with a quarter million votes cast Rs up .01%-—were down over 7 in 08. Throw in a) ANY indies and/or advantage of D crossover v R crossover and at 5m total votes this, to me, looks like at least a 2% win AFTER subtracting D advantage in absentees. Anyone else got different math? (Remember, Ds come out of absentees w/ an 80k lead (vs over 200,000 in 08).
Sorry, I was talking about OH -—I know this is an OR thread but my reference was to he strength of early R voters.
Unfortunately Marion County voted for Obama over McCain in 2008 -
http://www.co.marion.or.us/CO/elections/nov04-2008results.htm
Deschutes County (Bend) only had McCain over Obama by a couple of tenths of one percent so Deschutes wasn’t much better.
I will say this Anti-Hillary - we travel to Eugene every other week from Bend for business and we saw just one Obama sign the last time we went. In 2008 hopie-changie signs were everywhere. I find it hard to believe that this State would be nothing but a solid blue this time around even with the lack of enthusiasm. I’d love to be wrong though.
Why, OH WHY, do city dwellers have such a liberal herd mentality?
Then don’t check out Portlandia’s “Allergy pride parade.”
I live in a mini-Portland, Asheville, NC. Love to laugh at hipsters.
I think Oregon has a larger Mormon population as well. That may be a contribution factor.
The resulting data found President Barack Obama currently leading Governor Mitt Romney by a 47% to 42% margin.
When pushed, undecided voters broke toward Mitt Romney almost 2 to 1.
That means the “when pushed” total is about Romney. 49.5 - Obama 50.5. In a D+9 sample!
This election is starting to look like 2010 all over again. These nine days can’t pass fast enough
Born and raised in OR and every single election cycle I get high hopes for the return of (2) GOP senators, a GOP governor, and a GOP presidential candidate carrying the state but we always seem to come up just a little short. This time around I am yet again hopeful with a bit more confidence. I still have numerous friends and family up there and they all tell me that there is ZERO enthusiasm for the Kenyan. With that being the case...I am going to say that OR finally turns red again this time.
He won 53 percent in 2008. He doesn’t need to equal or better that performance. He just needs to not lose that much.
That said, it looks like he’s lost that much and more. .
Was taking to the wife about “electric” ballot measures that might get Oregonians to the polls. The gill-net issue is a wash but the Corporate kicker going to education and the legalization of marijuana will bring a few libs out. I hope you’re right but regardless all I want is a 270 EV for R/R!!
Oregon IS in play. According to my very (R) neighbor, Romney has a chance here. Tell your neighbors to VOTE!
I think Moonbatchusetts is in play. At worst, Zero won’t win by more than 5%.
Exactly right!! I have lived here and the liberals in PDX have controlled Portland all that time. The same thing goes on in our state of Wa., as Seattle and three liberal counties there, vote control our state which is all the rest mostely retired conservatives. It is tough to put up with the crap they dish out, but a lot of Californians have come north for the six months good weather and beautiful living, and end up staying through a moderate winter of mostely rain. You are exactly right about Oregon...beautiful state with people who can’t wait to mess everything up.
All we can hope for is massive, hugh and series, conservative turnout, Indies and suppressed Dem enthusiasm.
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