Posted on 10/25/2012 5:15:37 PM PDT by Arthurio
President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden maintain a lead over Republican challengers Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan (53% to 41%) among California likely voters in the upcoming presidential election. Findings were similar last month and in July. The second presidential debate occurred while the survey was being conducted. Likely voters nationwide remain closely divided (47% Obama, 47% Romney), according to an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll conducted at about the same time as our survey.
Overwhelming majorities of Democratic and Republican likely voters support their party’s candidate, while independent likely voters are divided (44% Obama, 43% Romney). Obama led Romney by a wider margin among independents in September (13 points) and July (16 points). While both men (50% Obama, 43% Romney) and women (57% Obama, 38% Romney) prefer Obama, women do so by a larger margin.
Latinos (74%) overwhelmingly support Obama, while half of whites (42% Obama, 52% Romney) support Romney.
The youth vote played an important role in Obama’s 2008 victory; in California, likely voters under 35 still support him by a wide margin (69% to 23% for Romney). A similar share of young voters supported Obama in October 2008 (65%). Voters 35 to 54 are divided (47% Obama, 46% Romney), while voters age 55 and older have a slight preference for Obama (51% Obama, 44% Romney). Obama has a solid lead among those with lower household incomes (63% less than $40,000), while about half of those earning more support Obama.
Majorities of likely voters in Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area prefer Obama, while a majority of Other Southern California voters (53%) prefer Romney. Voters in the Central Valley are divided. Majorities of evangelical Protestants (58%) and mainline Protestants (53%) support Romney; Catholics prefer Obama. Those with no religion strongly support Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at ppic.org ...
Since we know Romney will win by 5% nationwide we can assume that Obama probably has a slight lead in CA.
In case people are wondering why California has moved so far to the left. Changing demographics.
I know it is popular to bash CA on this forum, but show some compassion for those of us trapped behind enemy lines.
This could be down to single digits by election day.
Nobody's got a gun to your head. The borders to AZ, NV, and points north are all open and unguarded.
If you're hoping we're going to launch some Chuck Norris 'Missing In Action' rescue mission, it could be a very long wait.
Our shepherds are not spelling it out adequately. At least in my Diocese of Monterey.
2008 actuals: 61% to 37%.
Here’s the bright side,
If O’s really up that much in Ca, and behind nationally by 3 to 5 points that means landslide in the rest of the nation.
Too many states are trending this way over the decades.
New Jersey was once up for grabs and is now a safe Blue state.
Pennsylvania (my home) is supposedly up for grabs, but I think it is still a safe Blue state based on the corruption and demographics.
Ohio is trending in this direction. While Romney might win this cycle, I see the road ahead for us very difficult.
Compassion for CA residents? On this forum?? Not a chance. Those of us born, raised, schooled, and worked for 30 years in CA are expected to up and move because of the politics.
Its very soft! He got 62% last time in CA so this is a fall of almost 10 percentage points off his last win there. His supporters are not that enthusiastic - and I bet it’ll be even closer there than the polls indicate.
Don’t despair, the idiots who advise you to move to their paradise live in states where 47%+ of their neighbours prefer the Communist!
We got out why not you guys?.Its not going to get any better and everybody knows that.
Don’t despair, the idiots who advise you to move to their paradise live in states where 47%+ of their neighbours prefer the Communist!
I know how you feel. I live in Maryland.
Born and raised here, my family came here in the 1600’s I am not about to leave, but the Democrats have the power here. We are fighting though.
Correct. If only white people were voting, the Democratic party would lose decisively even in California.
Unfortunately, demographics are moving rapidly against us. More and more states will look increasingly like California demographics-wise. Unless we can figure out a way to win a higher share of minority (Hispanic) voters, in another generation (or less) we will be hard pressed to win even Texas.
If you’re lucky, maybe a giant tidal wave will sweep in and wash away all of the fruits, nuts, and flakes that infest the california coast. Maybe then could california could reclaim its title as the golden state. Such a shame that a wonderful state has been dragged down that far by liberal minions.
If all the undecideds break for Romney, Obama wins California by 53 to 47 percent. According to Gallup, however, Obama’s approval in California is only 50.1 percent.
Not so sure about that, they hate Californians in Washington and Oregon, I understand they are considering armed border stops.
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