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To: CatOwner
FROM GALLUP's OWN WEBSITE :


Election Year Presidential Preferences: Gallup Poll Accuracy Record
1936 - 2008

Year Nominees Final Poll Election Results Deviation
2008 Barack Obama 55 52.6  -2
John McCain 44 46.0 +2
2004 George W. Bush 49 50.7  -2
John F. Kerry 49 48.3 +1
2000 George W. Bush 48 47.9   0
Albert Gore, Jr. 46 48.4  -2
Ralph Nader 4   2.7 +1
1996 William J. Clinton 52 49.2 +3
Robert Dole 41 40.7  0
H. Ross Perot 7   8.4 -1
1992 William J. Clinton 49 43.0 +6
George Bush 37 37.4   0
H. Ross Perot 14 18.9 -5
1988 George Bush 56 53.4 +3
Michael Dukakis 44 45.6  -2
1984 Ronald Reagan 59 58.8  0
Walter F. Mondale 41 40.6  0
1980 Ronald Reagan 47 50.7  -4
Jimmy Carter 44 41.0 +3
John Anderson 8   6.6 +1
1976 Jimmy Carter 48 50.1  -2
Gerald Ford 49 48.0 +1
1972 Richard Nixon 62 60.7 +1
George McGovern 38 37.5   0
1968 Richard Nixon 43 43.4   0
Hubert H. Humphrey 42 42.7  -1
George Wallace 15 13.5 +1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson 64 61.1 +3
Barry Goldwater 36 38.5  -3
1960 John F. Kennedy 51 49.7 +1
Richard Nixon 49 49.5  -1
1956 Dwight Eisenhower 59.5 57.4 +2
Adlai Stevenson 40.5 42.0  -2
1952 Dwight Eisenhower 51 55.1  -4
Adlai Stevenson 49 44.4 +5
1948 Harry S. Truman 44.5 49.5  -5
Thomas E. Dewey 49.5 45.1  -4
Strom Thurmond 4   2.4 +2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt 51.5 53.4  -2
Thomas E. Dewey 48.5 45.9 +3
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt 52 54.7  -3
Wendell L. Willkie 48 44.8 +3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt 55.7 60.8  -5
Alfred M. Landon 44.3 36.5 +8


43 posted on 10/22/2012 10:45:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Yes, pretty much proves my point. Since 1952, fairly accurate. Gallup determined after the 1948 election that he had a methodology issue and corrected it.

If you will note, Gallup was low by 2% in 2004 and 2008 for the GOP candidate. They pretty much nailed the GOP numbers in 1996 and 2000. If anything, Gallup tends to report the DEM numbers a bit too high.

48 posted on 10/22/2012 10:54:38 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: SeekAndFind

Rasmussen projected the 04 presidential results within one percentage point of the actual vote totals earned by both George W. Bush and John Kerry.
Rasmussen’s final polls in 08 had Obama ahead 52%-46%, which was nearly identical to Obama’s final margin of 53%-46%.


52 posted on 10/22/2012 11:01:52 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
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To: SeekAndFind
With borders:

Election Polls -- Accuracy Record in Presidential Elections

Gallup Poll Accuracy Record

Year Candidates Final Gallup Survey Election Result Gallup Deviation
% % %
2008 Obama 55.0 53.0 +2.0
McCain 44.0 46.0 -2.0
2004 Bush 49.0 50.7 -1.7
Kerry 49.0 48.3 +0.7
2000 Bush 48.0 47.9 0.1
Gore 46.0 48.4 -2.4
Nader 4.0 2.7 1.3
1996 Clinton 52.0 49.2 +2.8
Dole 41.0 40.7 0.3
Perot 7.0 8.4 -1.4
1992 Clinton 49.0 43.3 +5.7
Bush 37.0 37.7 -0.7
Perot 14.0 19.0 -5.0
1988 Bush 56.0 53.0 +3.0
Dukakis 44.0 46.1 -2.1
1984 Reagan 59.0 59.2 -0.2
Mondale 41.0 40.8 +0.2
1980 Reagan 47.0 50.8 -3.8
Carter 44.0 41.0 +3.0
Anderson 8.0 6.6 +1.4
Other 1.0 1.6 -0.6
1976 Carter 48.0 50.1 -2.1
Ford 49.0 48.1 +0.9
McCarthy 2.0 0.9 +1.1
Other 1.0 0.9 +0.1
1972 Nixon 62.0 61.8 +0.2
McGovern 38.0 38.2 -0.2
1968 Nixon 43.0 43.5 -0.5
Humphrey 42.0 42.9 -0.9
Wallace 15.0 13.6 +1.4
1964 Johnson 64.0 61.3 +2.7
Goldwater 36.0 38.7 -2.7
1960 Kennedy 50.5 50.1 +0.4
Nixon 49.5 49.9 -0.4
1956 Eisenhower 59.5 57.8 +1.7
Stevenson 40.5 42.2 -1.7
1952 Eisenhower 51.0 55.4 -4.4
Stevenson 49.0 44.6 +4.4
1948 Truman 44.5 49.5 -5.0
Dewey 49.5 45.1 +4.4
Wallace 4.0 2.4 +1.6
Thurmond 2.0 2.0 0.0
1944 Roosevelt 51.5 53.8 -2.3
Dewey 48.5 46.2 +2.3
1940 Roosevelt 52.0 55.0 -3.0
Willkie 48.0 45.0 +3.0
1936 Roosevelt 55.7 62.5 -6.8
Landon 44.3 37.5 +6.8

58 posted on 10/22/2012 11:06:15 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (To bid on this tagline space: www.jeffchandlerstaglinespace.com)
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To: SeekAndFind

.

- Ross Perot gave a bigtime endorsement to Mitt Romney last week

- It seems the MSM did not like Perot this time...

- How about Ross Perot, Donald Trump, Steve Winn, and comedian Paul Rodiquez all doing a TV ad together for Mitt?

.


62 posted on 10/22/2012 1:36:24 PM PDT by devolve ( ---- ---- ---- -CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER_CHEESEBURGER- ---- ---- ---- ---- John Belusi ---- ----)
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To: SeekAndFind

Thank you very much. Yours is easiest to read.


64 posted on 10/22/2012 3:33:18 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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