Posted on 10/20/2012 5:39:48 PM PDT by markomalley
Appearing on Fox News today, pollster Frank Luntz said he’s moved Florida into the Mitt Romney column.
A Fox News poll of likely voters released Friday has Romney ahead of President Obama by three points.
Poll ping.
Fatima,
LS is no troll. He is a committed Conservative and a pretty damn good author.
In fact, I have a signed book from him I treasure.
FRegards,
Jet
You are hereby ignored. I gave you the data. Told you where to do your own analysis. You are urged to draw different conclusions from it, but should share your insights. At any rate, I hereby relive you of ver reading any of my posts. And you can rest assured I’ll not give your a second glance. Buh bye.
One thing that was so confusing about ‘08 was that Republican voters were coming out in strong enough numbers in some states to signal that McCain might do well. Problem was a good many of those Republican voters were voting for Obama, not McCain.
That was very disappointing.
So what did you predict in 08?
She doesn't live here... her home is in Maryland!!
Why is Obama going to Tampa in the last days of the campaign?
VA is still in play. It is going to be close.
Not so.
In 2004 Bush won Ohio and lost Cuyahoga by 227,000 votes.
In 2000 Bush won Ohio and lost Cuyahoga by 167,000.
;-\
Don’t think there’s any disagreement here.
Jim is saying that if Dem advantage is less that 150K then Republicans ALWAYS win Ohio.
You are saying it is still POSSIBLE to win even if Dems have more than 150K advantage.
Man, you’re annoying. Leave LS alone. Either look at the data and come to your own conclusions or just ignore it. Ignorance to you may be bliss. Also, stop with the potshots.
Wow, you are pretty harsh over my friend and fello Ohioan LS. I sure wouldnt want to go to Vegas with you.
Many of us were suprised at the 08 Ohio vote but as someone who was a poll worker that day I saw a much better ground game by the Dems as far as turnout goes.
I dont see the enthusiasm this year as there was in 08. Here in the west side of Cincy its 20:1 for Romney when it comes to yard signs but i go over to the more afluent and university parts of town its more like 10:1 0dogeater.
Ohio is going to be close. I dont trust early/absentee, i vote on Election Day and i am hoping its a repeat of Chick Fil A Appreciation day.
he should post the 08 disclaimer every time he posts.
Why is the truth harsh.Praying for your outcome (((Hugs)))
Over a month ago, you two spotted trends in the early voting in Ohio, that, analyzed by county, looked better for Republicans than what happened in 2008. This was way before the first debate, back when Romney seemed to be polling badly in the swing states, and back when the media was telling the Romney campaign to give up. You noticed trends in OH, NC, IA that shouted that this election wasn’t going to be like 2008 at all.
Since that time, I’ve seen other observers and number crunchers like Adrian Gray (a Bush insider), twitter guy “NumbersMuncher”, CAC of AceofSpadesHQ, and pollster ElectionInsight of Ohio, all look at voter registration changes and the early voting and come to similar conclusions as you. They have different angles but their opinions converge that voting in Ohio is going Romney’s way. Kudos to you for your early “trend-spotting” prowess!
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