Gallup: R-51/O-45

Gallup ^ | 10/20 | Gallup

[tatown]

R-51% O-45%

[tatown]

No change! So much for the Obama 'better numbers'.

[Perdogg]

Today’s Gallup update - Romney still up 6; up 2 among registered voters; Obama’s net job approval down another point.
Probably really plus 4 or so nationwide, giving as much credence as they deserve to other pollsters.

[Viennacon]

I believe that’s four days over 50%. No static in this result. It’s the real deal. I bet Zogby’s crying!

[Perdogg]

I can breathe easy for another 21 1/2 hours.

[TonyInOhio]

I expected a narrowing in this poll today, so this is a surprise.

[Perdogg]

Maybe Nate Silver can hold him.

[BenLurkin]

Americans have figured out that Hussein should never have been put inthea job for which is is manifestly unsuited.

[nathanbedford]

This corresponds very closely with Rasmussen's just released swing state poll.

[rfp1234]

Bambi bump: not optimal.

[tatown]

I think the collective fear in here about this being a Gallup ‘setup’ is wrong. Gallup is using the turnout model they expect to be reality on Nov 6 and using that model Romney is walking away with this thing.

If other pollsters were using models closer to 2004 rather than 2008 the RCP average would be 6+ in favor of Romney (not counting the eventual allocation of un decideds).

[Gay State Conservative]

In 2000 Russert said “Florida,Florida,Florida”.This year it could well be “Ohio,Ohio,Ohio”.

[GeronL]

If Gallup is accurate this race really might be over

[tatown]

Haha! Doesn’t mean I’ll sleep too well though.

[editor-surveyor]

>> “I expected a narrowing in this poll today, so this is a surprise.” <<

.
The reported numbers were already ‘narrowed’ by Gallup.

The real numbers are more like 55 - 39.

[hinckley buzzard]

Consistency deflates the claim of Gallup being "an outlier." Reason for increasing confidence.

[editor-surveyor]

>> This year it could well be “Ohio,Ohio,Ohio”. <<

.
Or “Michigan, Michigan, Michigan.”

[Arthurio]

Or Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Wisconsin : http://goo.gl/gWkyR

[BCrago66]

Obama is today 46 with registered voters; 45 with likely voters. 2 1/2 weeks before the election. Even is Gallop is undershooting Obama’s support by a couple points, these are just terrible numbers for an incumbent.

[Art in Idaho]

Don't relax people. From The Blaze: Here Are the 4 Surprise Signs That Obama Could Still Win the 2012 Election. Scary. Romney could win the popular but lose the electoral.

Ohio!

Fight for America!

[barryobi]

or Wisconsin, Wisconsin, Wisconsin...Wisconsin + Iowa = Ohio, or Wisconsin + NH = Ohio in terms of what we need to get Romney to 270 the way the map looks now.