[snarkytart]

Yes, you’re right but, ooooo I can’t shake 2008 in my head.

[LS]

Believe me, I know. I worry that 30% of those new Republican voters will vote D. But it just doesn't seem to make any sense.

If this was any outfit but PPP, I'd be worried. Ras at D+3 is oversampling Ds and still only has Obama +1 and still not at 50. The absentee numbers are tightening, but Rs still have decisive, often dominant leads or turnarounds from 04. But I'll admit, could be surprised on election night.

More than likely, though, it's the Ds who will be surprised.